According to sources familiar with US assessments of a recent Beijing summit, Chinese leader Xi Jinping told US President Donald Trump that Russian leader Vladimir Putin may come to regret his invasion of Ukraine. These remarks, reportedly going further than previous discussions on the topic, emerged as Putin prepares for a summit with Xi. During the same meeting, Trump suggested that the US, China, and Russia should cooperate to challenge the International Criminal Court.
Read More
During a recent summit in Beijing, Chinese President Xi Jinping reportedly expressed to former US President Donald Trump that Russian President Vladimir Putin might come to regret the invasion of Ukraine. This marks a more direct expression of Xi’s personal views on the conflict than previously shared. The discussions also touched on the war in Ukraine and a proposal by Trump for the three leaders to collaborate against the International Criminal Court. The Trump administration’s official fact sheet from the summit did not mention these conversations.
Read More
European intelligence agencies have identified Russia as a direct threat to the West and NATO. EU defense officials and lawmakers are concerned that the Kremlin might exploit the upcoming years, potentially coinciding with Donald Trump’s presidency and Europe’s ongoing military buildup, to test NATO’s resolve. This apprehension is fueled by Russia’s justification for its invasion of Ukraine, citing the protection of Russian speakers, and also by Ukrainian President Zelenskyy’s warning that Baltic countries could be Moscow’s next target if Ukraine does not receive sufficient support.
Read More
Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of Russia’s Security Council, issued a provocative threat to Schengen countries, stating Russian soldiers could enter without visas, referencing historical invasions of 1812 and 1945. This statement, made on Russia’s Defender of the Fatherland Day and the eve of the anniversary of the Ukraine invasion, directly responded to EU High Representative Kaja Kallas’s efforts to restrict former Russian servicemen from entering the Schengen area. Medvedev’s rhetoric, which often includes personal insults towards EU and US officials, has frequently targeted European nations with invasion and nuclear threats since February 2022.
Read More
Putin’s demands for peace, as reported, center on halting NATO enlargement. This isn’t a new request, and history shows that past demands of this nature have had the opposite effect, fueling NATO expansion. It seems rather ironic that the actions of Russia, specifically the invasion of Ukraine, are the primary driver behind NATO’s growth. The very existence of NATO is a direct response to Russian aggression, serving as a deterrent against further expansionist moves.
The idea that NATO expands independently is fundamentally flawed. Each nation makes a sovereign decision to join, driven by a desire for security and protection from threats, most notably from Russia.… Continue reading
A recent US intelligence assessment reveals Vladimir Putin’s unwavering commitment to victory in Ukraine, pursuing a strategy of attrition to weaken Ukrainian resistance and Western support. Despite slow progress and substantial Russian losses—exceeding 700,000 soldiers and 10,000 pieces of equipment—Moscow’s military command deems this approach acceptable. Russia’s offensive, aided by North Korean troops and sustained attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure, aims to achieve Ukrainian neutrality and further partition of the country. This strategy, while costly, is predicated on outlasting Ukraine and its Western allies.
Read More
The EU and Britain imposed new sanctions on Russia’s “shadow fleet” of oil tankers, marking the 17th such action since the Ukraine invasion. This coordinated response followed recent Russian drone attacks on Ukraine and came despite a lack of accompanying U.S. sanctions. While President Zelenskyy urged continued U.S. involvement in peace negotiations, the White House opted against additional sanctions, prioritizing dialogue with Russia. The sanctions target Russia’s oil export capabilities, aiming to increase pressure for a ceasefire.
Read More
A Polish customs seizure in Koroszczyn uncovered five metric tons of Boeing aircraft tires falsely declared as car and bus tires. The shipment originated in Spain and was destined for Azerbaijan, but was intercepted due to its suspected final use in Russia, violating sanctions imposed following the Ukraine invasion. Criminal proceedings for customs fraud have been initiated. The seized tires, intended for civilian aircraft, highlight ongoing efforts to circumvent Western sanctions on Russia.
Read More
Britain’s unwavering support for Nuremberg-style trials targeting Russian leadership for their role in the Ukraine invasion stands in stark contrast to Donald Trump’s opposition. This decision, to pursue accountability for the “crimes of aggression” committed during the invasion, highlights a significant rift in the international response to the conflict. The proposed military tribunal, mirroring the post-World War II trials of Nazi officials, aims to prosecute key Russian figures for initiating the war, not just for subsequent war crimes committed on Ukrainian soil.
This focus on the crime of aggression is crucial because the International Criminal Court (ICC), while capable of prosecuting other war crimes, lacks the jurisdiction to address this specific charge.… Continue reading
In early 2022, Raiffeisen Bank International, Brink’s, and Bank of America facilitated the transfer of over $12 billion in cash to Russia before the Ukraine invasion. The majority of this currency, primarily USD, EUR, and CHF, was delivered to the sanctioned Russian company TBSS, with RBI handling the lion’s share. This influx, peaking in the weeks before the invasion, significantly exceeded previous years’ averages and occurred amidst escalating geopolitical tensions and anticipated sanctions. While no laws were broken at the time of transfer, the timing raises concerns given subsequent export bans and the widespread awareness of impending conflict.
Read More
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood