On October 18, Russian Telegram channels reported a Ukrainian drone strike ignited a fire at the Veshkaima electrical substation in Russia’s Ulyanovsk Oblast. Social media footage purportedly showed drones hitting the 500-kv substation, owned by a Rosseti subsidiary. This attack, which follows a pattern of Ukrainian strikes targeting Russian energy infrastructure, occurred over 900 kilometers east of the Russia-Ukraine border. Earlier in October, similar attacks were reported in Russia’s Volgograd and Belgorod Oblasts.
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Overnight drone strikes targeted energy facilities in Russia’s Volgograd and Saratov regions, damaging infrastructure and causing widespread power outages. A major fire erupted at the Balashovskaya electrical substation following a strike, while the Saratov oil refinery, a key supplier for the Russian military, was also hit. Russia’s Ministry of Defense claimed to have intercepted numerous drones, however, multiple impacts and fires were confirmed. These attacks are reportedly part of a campaign to degrade Russia’s military-industrial capabilities.
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A drone strike hit an industrial area in Ufa, Russia, near the Ufaorgsintez oil refinery, which is part of the Bashneft oil company affiliated with Gazprom. Local reports indicated smoke and internet disruptions, with authorities previously announcing a drone threat in the region. This potential attack, if confirmed, would be the third drone strike in Bashkortostan in the past month and adds to the trend of Ukrainian forces targeting Russian oil infrastructure with long-range drones. An additional drone attack on an oil refinery in Volgograd was reported the same day.
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Overnight on October 13th, Ukrainian drones targeted the largest Russian oil depot in Feodosia, occupied Crimea, resulting in a significant blaze. The attack reportedly struck at least five fuel tanks and an electricity substation. This marks the second strike on the facility in a week, as Ukrainian forces continue to target Russian oil infrastructure. The Feodosia oil depot, a critical supply hub for Russian forces with a capacity of 250,000 tons of fuel, is located approximately 250 kilometers from Ukrainian-controlled territory.
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In September, Russia’s seaborne oil product exports experienced a 17.1% drop, totaling 7.58 million metric tons, due to Ukrainian drone attacks disrupting refinery operations. The strikes caused unplanned outages at key facilities operated by Surgutneftegaz, Lukoil, and Rosneft, resulting in reduced fuel shipments. Exports from various port regions decreased, while analysts suggest that continued attacks undermine Russia’s fuel production and could lead to prioritization of domestic supply. This follows a previously reported 9.1% decline in seaborne oil product exports for 2024, attributed to the aforementioned factors.
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Overnight on October 13th, Ukrainian drones struck the largest Russian oil depot in Feodosia, Crimea, causing a massive fire. According to a source, the SBU targeted at least five tanks and an electricity substation in Feodosia, and another in Simferopol. Social media showed videos of the blaze, which occurred around midnight, marking the second attack on the facility in a week. Located 250 kilometers from Ukrainian-controlled territory, the depot is the largest in Crimea, holding up to 250,000 tons of fuel, supplying Russian forces, and is being targeted in an effort to reduce Russia’s capacity to wage war.
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Ukraine Claims Strike on Oil Refinery Complex in Russia’s Ufa, and honestly, that’s a headline that really makes you sit up and take notice. The idea of Ukrainian forces reaching deep into Russian territory, potentially hitting strategic targets like an oil refinery complex, is a significant development. We’re talking about a target that’s roughly 1500 kilometers away, depending on the specific launch point and the refinery location. It’s a feat of engineering, strategy, and sheer audacity.
The details on the delivery method are, of course, the next intriguing aspect. One thought that comes to mind is the potential involvement of long-range drones.… Continue reading
On October 11, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) drones targeted a Russian oil refinery in the Bashkortostan Republic, leading to explosions and a fire. The strike, which hit the Bashnafta-UNPZ plant in Ufa, a key supplier for the Russian Armed Forces, marks the third SBU drone attack in Bashkortostan within a month. Preliminary reports indicate a fire at the crude-oil processing unit, with the extent of the damage still unknown. This attack, part of an escalating campaign against Russia’s oil industry, comes as Russia has also increased attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure.
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In a second night of significant air attacks, Russia’s Defense Ministry reported the destruction of nearly 200 Ukrainian drones. The Nizhny Novgorod region experienced a drone attack on an industrial zone, with debris causing minor damage to one enterprise. Ukrainian sources claim their drones targeted the Y.M. Sverdlov explosives factory near Dzerzhinsk, reportedly Russia’s key producer of high explosives. This action followed a previous day’s attack involving 20 drones in the same area.
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Russia loses one million tons of fuel in September alone as strikes and sanctions converge, a staggering figure that highlights the complex challenges facing the Russian energy sector. It’s a situation that paints a picture of significant disruption, with a combination of factors contributing to this massive loss of fuel production.
The Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian oil refineries, specifically, are a key part of this story. While precise numbers are always tricky to pin down, with some news outlets claiming up to 38% of Russian oil refining capacity is offline, the situation isn’t quite that simple. Considering that Russia can refine 327 million tons of oil annually, or roughly 6.5 million barrels per day, the impact of these attacks, targeting 16 refineries, is significant.… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood