In September, Russia’s seaborne oil product exports experienced a 17.1% drop, totaling 7.58 million metric tons, due to Ukrainian drone attacks disrupting refinery operations. The strikes caused unplanned outages at key facilities operated by Surgutneftegaz, Lukoil, and Rosneft, resulting in reduced fuel shipments. Exports from various port regions decreased, while analysts suggest that continued attacks undermine Russia’s fuel production and could lead to prioritization of domestic supply. This follows a previously reported 9.1% decline in seaborne oil product exports for 2024, attributed to the aforementioned factors.
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Overnight on October 13th, Ukrainian drones struck the largest Russian oil depot in Feodosia, Crimea, causing a massive fire. According to a source, the SBU targeted at least five tanks and an electricity substation in Feodosia, and another in Simferopol. Social media showed videos of the blaze, which occurred around midnight, marking the second attack on the facility in a week. Located 250 kilometers from Ukrainian-controlled territory, the depot is the largest in Crimea, holding up to 250,000 tons of fuel, supplying Russian forces, and is being targeted in an effort to reduce Russia’s capacity to wage war.
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Ukraine Claims Strike on Oil Refinery Complex in Russia’s Ufa, and honestly, that’s a headline that really makes you sit up and take notice. The idea of Ukrainian forces reaching deep into Russian territory, potentially hitting strategic targets like an oil refinery complex, is a significant development. We’re talking about a target that’s roughly 1500 kilometers away, depending on the specific launch point and the refinery location. It’s a feat of engineering, strategy, and sheer audacity.
The details on the delivery method are, of course, the next intriguing aspect. One thought that comes to mind is the potential involvement of long-range drones.… Continue reading
On October 11, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) drones targeted a Russian oil refinery in the Bashkortostan Republic, leading to explosions and a fire. The strike, which hit the Bashnafta-UNPZ plant in Ufa, a key supplier for the Russian Armed Forces, marks the third SBU drone attack in Bashkortostan within a month. Preliminary reports indicate a fire at the crude-oil processing unit, with the extent of the damage still unknown. This attack, part of an escalating campaign against Russia’s oil industry, comes as Russia has also increased attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure.
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In a second night of significant air attacks, Russia’s Defense Ministry reported the destruction of nearly 200 Ukrainian drones. The Nizhny Novgorod region experienced a drone attack on an industrial zone, with debris causing minor damage to one enterprise. Ukrainian sources claim their drones targeted the Y.M. Sverdlov explosives factory near Dzerzhinsk, reportedly Russia’s key producer of high explosives. This action followed a previous day’s attack involving 20 drones in the same area.
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Russia loses one million tons of fuel in September alone as strikes and sanctions converge, a staggering figure that highlights the complex challenges facing the Russian energy sector. It’s a situation that paints a picture of significant disruption, with a combination of factors contributing to this massive loss of fuel production.
The Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian oil refineries, specifically, are a key part of this story. While precise numbers are always tricky to pin down, with some news outlets claiming up to 38% of Russian oil refining capacity is offline, the situation isn’t quite that simple. Considering that Russia can refine 327 million tons of oil annually, or roughly 6.5 million barrels per day, the impact of these attacks, targeting 16 refineries, is significant.… Continue reading
Overnight on Tuesday, Ukraine launched a large-scale drone attack on Russia, impacting targets as far as Tyumen, over 2,000 kilometers from the Ukrainian border, coinciding with Vladimir Putin’s birthday. Moscow reported intercepting 209 projectiles, primarily over border regions, following a previous day’s retaliatory strike by Russia. The attack on Tyumen, which included an industrial site and potentially the Tyumen Oil Refinery, marks one of Ukraine’s deepest strikes and has contributed to Russia’s fuel shortages. These attacks have intensified in recent months, significantly impacting Russian refining capacity and gasoline output, prompting government measures to address the supply issues.
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Russian forces have reportedly utilized cavalry units in assault operations against Ukrainian positions, as confirmed by Ukrainian troops. During a recent offensive, a precision drone strike destroyed one such unit. The footage released by Ukrainian forces shows the Russian cavalry detachment attempting to storm defensive positions, later using their horses for cover, a tactic rendered ineffective by aerial surveillance. Analysts believe the deployment of mounted troops reflects a combination of tactical improvisation and desperation. The initiative marks Russia’s first revival of cavalry tactics since such formations were disbanded in 1955.
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Overnight on October 4, a drone attack ignited a fire at an oil refinery in Kirishi, Russia, which was confirmed by regional officials. Local reports and photos indicated an explosion and flames at the facility, identified by sources as one of Russia’s largest, opened in 2017. This marks at least the fourth time the refinery has been targeted, with previous attacks attributed to Ukraine, although there has been no immediate comment on this instance. Ukrainian forces have increasingly targeted Russia’s oil industry, viewing refineries as legitimate military targets supporting the ongoing conflict.
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Russian drones slaughter 13,000 pigs in Kharkiv Oblast farm strikes, and it’s impossible not to react with a surge of disgust. This isn’t just an act of war; it’s a calculated attack on the very fabric of civilian life. It feels like a regression, a descent into the kind of barbarity we hoped we’d left behind. It’s weaponizing winter once again, just like they’ve done before. The targeting of civilian infrastructure, the deliberate destruction of food sources – it all points to a deeply troubling pattern.
Russian drones slaughter 13,000 pigs in Kharkiv Oblast farm strikes, and this sort of action just reinforces the perception of Russia as a petulant, underdeveloped entity that lashes out in response to any form of pressure.… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood