Donald Trump’s historic return to the White House, securing a second term, has sent shockwaves across the nation. While the 2020 election was a close race, the 2024 election was a landslide victory for Trump, with a significant shift in voter sentiment evident across key swing states. The Democratic party suffered a crushing defeat, losing ground even in states that were considered safe blue strongholds.
The magnitude of Trump’s victory is undeniable. He not only won the presidency but also secured a Republican majority in both the House and Senate, solidifying his control over all branches of government. The impact of this victory extends beyond domestic politics; it also has global implications.… Continue reading
The presidential campaign of Donald Trump is reportedly in disarray, according to an article by Tim Alberta in The Atlantic. The piece revealed internal fighting in the camp, with key players taking time out to talk to the media rather than concentrating on their roles. According to the article’s author, the revelations suggest that the campaign team may expect to lose the election and are trying to deflect any potential blame for the failure. Usually, such internal tensions remain undisclosed until post-election campaign analysis or insider books are released.
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Trump appears to forget he is in North Carolina, and watching it unfold is both perplexing and deeply concerning. In a recent rally in Kinston, he referred to Pennsylvania’s GOP Senate candidate, David McCormick, as if he were campaigning in that state rather than in North Carolina. It’s surreal to witness someone of his stature simply not know where he is. This isn’t just a slip of the tongue; it feels like a glaring indication of something more troubling happening with him.
His comment about having “one of the best” in front of a crowd that was decidedly not in Pennsylvania raises alarms.… Continue reading
Two days before the presidential election, former President Donald Trump spoke at a rally in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, expressing conspiratorial and profanity-laden sentiments. He repeatedly cast doubt on the integrity of the vote, intensified his attacks on Democrats and the media, and made references to reporters and political critics being shot. He suggested he can only lose the election under fraudulent circumstances, despite polling showing a very close race. Trump was previously indicted for attempts to overturn his 2020 election defeat. There are concerns among some Trump allies about prematurely declaring victory on election night, as he did in the 2016 election, which led to months of denial and lies, climaxing in the Jan. 6, 2021 Capitol insurrection.
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Vikki Westbrook, a Trump supporter in rural North Carolina, remarks the “locked and loaded” sentiment shared amongst fellow Republicans ahead of the 2024 US Presidential election. Many Trump supporters remain convinced that the 2020 election was unjustly taken from Trump and fear similar circumstances in the upcoming election. Trump’s rhetoric continues to intensify amongst his supporters, with one in four believing that if Trump were to lose, he should discredit the election results and do whatever it takes to reclaim the presidency. As Trump tours key swing states before the election, claims of electoral fraud persist despite poll trackers suggesting a neck-and-neck race. The potential for violence remains a concern should Trump not secure a win.
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Former president Donald Trump responded to a surprising poll from the Des Moines Register that indicated favor was swinging towards Kamala Harris in Iowa, a state that was previously 18 points in Trump’s favour. Trump accused the pollster of being biased against him and urged the state’s farmers to support him. This recent poll aligns with reportedly bleak internal polls for Trump and ongoing trends predicting key swing-state races favouring Democrats. GOP strategist Margaret Hoover believes these internal polls are a cause for concern for Trump’s campaign. Democrats are apparently in a strong position to take on incumbents, according to Race to the WH founder Logan Phillips.
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Pollster Ivan Moore predicts that Republican Senator Ted Cruz will lose his Texas Senate seat to Democrat Representative Colin Allred in the upcoming election. The close race could determine which party controls the Senate. Though some recent polls show Cruz leading by between one and seven points, others suggest Allred could outperform him. The Dallas Morning News, the state’s top newspaper by daily circulation, endorsed Allred in a front-page editorial last month, and state politics has been influenced by Democrats in recent electoral cycles. Moore made the bold prediction via Twitter.
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A recent poll prediction showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of Donald Trump in Iowa has sparked a dramatic shift in election prediction markets. The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll, conducted by highly respected pollster Ann Selzer, found Harris three points up on Trump among likely voters. Consequently, markets such as Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt, which had previously favored Trump, saw a decrease in his winning probability. Over $174 million has been traded on Kalshi alone related to the election, and Harris’s chances of victory have increased almost 10 points within the span of a week. Despite another favorable poll for Trump, analysts consider the Selzer survey significant due to the accuracy and credibility of previous results.
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A surprising turnaround in Iowa sees Democrat Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump 47% to 44% in a recent Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, despite Iowa’s swing to the right in recent elections. The shift towards Harris is primarily driven by older and politically independent women. Trump however continues to lead with his core base, which includes men, evangelicals, rural residents, and non-college graduates. The poll was conducted from October 28-31 among 808 likely voters, including those who have already voted and those planning to. This development comes as a surprise given the state’s recent electoral history favoring Trump.
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A final poll before Election Day shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Trump in Iowa by three points, a significant swing from the double-digit lead Trump had over Joe Biden in June. The survey suggests Harris’ popularity surge is partly due to support from older women and independent voters, with her lead among women aged 65 and older being more than two times. Meanwhile, Trump continues to lead among Iowans between 35 and 54 years of age. Democrats aren’t surprised by the poll’s findings, suggesting it aligns with sentiments heard from various voter groups in Iowa. However, the Trump Campaign and Iowa GOP Chair, Jeff Kauffman, dispute the accuracy of this poll, citing an Emerson College poll that shows Trump still leading.
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Matt Underwood 
John Q. Hosedrinker