With Donald Trump’s reelection, Ukraine faces a potential reduction in US support, which could significantly impact the ongoing war with Russia. Trump has expressed skepticism about continued US commitment to Ukraine and has even suggested pressuring the country into a truce with Russia. This comes at a crucial moment for Ukraine, as Russian forces continue to gain ground in the eastern Donbas region. While the Biden administration has pledged substantial aid to Ukraine, Trump’s stance could dramatically alter the course of the conflict. Despite Zelensky’s efforts to secure continued US support, the potential shift in US policy could significantly hinder Ukraine’s efforts to achieve a decisive victory.
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In his November 6th address, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky appealed to President-elect Donald Trump, urging him to maintain strong relations with Ukraine despite past tensions. Zelensky highlighted the potential for greater cooperation in defense, economy, and post-war reconstruction, stressing the benefits for both nations and the free world. He invoked the legacy of Ronald Reagan, emphasizing the importance of “peace through strength” and linking Trump’s potential presidency to Reagan’s strong foreign policy stance. Zelensky referenced their previous meeting in September where he presented Trump with Ukraine’s victory plan and invited him to visit the country, an invitation Trump accepted. Despite Trump’s previous criticism of Zelensky and his handling of the war, Zelensky expressed hope for a strengthened partnership in the future.
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Donald Trump’s recent election victory has raised concerns about his ability to end the Russia-Ukraine war within “24 hours,” as he pledged during his campaign. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov expressed skepticism about Trump’s claim, stating that ending the conflict is a complex process that cannot be achieved overnight. While Trump’s plan would likely benefit Russia by ceding Ukrainian territory, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed skepticism about the feasibility of achieving a quick resolution without sacrificing land. Zelensky also voiced hope for continued bipartisan support from the U.S. for Ukraine, despite Trump’s previous rhetoric regarding ending U.S. involvement in the conflict.
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Ukrainian military intelligence launched a drone attack against a Russian naval base in Kaspiysk, Dagestan, targeting vessels involved in strikes against Ukraine. At least two Russian warships were damaged in the attack, which occurred approximately 1,000 kilometers from the frontlines. While Russian authorities reported intercepting a single drone, social media footage suggests a second drone hit its target, resulting in a large explosion. The incident led to the temporary suspension of operations at a nearby airport, highlighting the growing threat posed by Ukrainian drone strikes deep within Russian territory.
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The FBI is investigating a series of bomb threats targeting polling sites in multiple states, with many appearing to originate from Russian email domains. While these threats have not been deemed credible, the FBI is urging the public to be aware of misleading videos circulating on social media about the election. This investigation coincides with warnings from U.S. intelligence agencies and Microsoft regarding foreign influence campaigns aimed at manipulating voters ahead of the 2024 election. These campaigns are reportedly targeting specific candidates, with Russia favoring former President Donald Trump and Iran supporting Vice President Kamala Harris.
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Roman Kostenko, secretary of Ukraine’s parliamentary defence committee, has called for the mobilisation of 500,000 citizens to meet current battlefield needs. This suggestion is in agreement with former Commander-in-Chief Valery Zaluzhny’s earlier recommendation for 500,000 new recruits. Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky has acknowledged the need for large-scale mobilisation, which is estimated to cost Ukraine 500 billion hryvnias. Kit is currently planned for an additional 160,000 men to be mobilised, in addition to the 1.05 million already serving. Ukraine has been struggling to replace battlefield casualties and rotate soldiers who have been fighting since the onset of the war.
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Russia is increasingly using unidentified gas in its chemical warfare against Ukrainian troops, who are struggling to identify the majority of the chemicals used due to the lack of sophisticated detectors. Russian drones drop the gas grenades into trenches which forces Ukrainian soldiers out into the open fields, making them easy targets for drone or artillery attacks. In the 323 recorded incidents of chemical attacks by Russia in October, nearly all but 15 cases were unidentified. Ukraine has called for help from its Western allies to provide complex detectors to identify what chemical weapon is being used. The use of chemical agents, even if not lethal, on battlefields is considered a violation of the 1993 Chemical Weapons Convention.
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Ukrainian troops are reportedly fighting to restrain one of Russia’s most powerful offensives since the beginning of Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine. The force of the Russian advance has increased considerably since September, with Russia stating that it has claimed two more Settlements in the Donbas region, a significant area of conflict and loss. As the winter looms, concerns are growing that the country may be facing the toughest season of the war yet, especially following long-range Russian air strikes, which have cut around half of Ukraine’s power generation capacity. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has been seeking support from NATO countries, aiming to use long-range missiles provided by these countries to reach targets inside Russia.
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According to Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi, Ukrainian soldiers are defending against one of Russia’s strongest offensives since the war began. The Ukrainian military is currently under pressure, as Russia continues to conduct operations in Donetsk Oblast. The General Staff reported 126 clashes between the two forces on November 2. It was also revealed that Russia plans to involve over 7,000 North Korean troops in their offensive, a move that has drawn criticism from President Volodymyr Zelensky. He claims that if Ukraine had permission to use Western long-range weaponry, it could preemptively strike the locations where these troops are assembling.
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John Q. Hosedrinker