Following a claimed Ukrainian attack using US-provided ATACMS missiles, Russia vowed retaliation, citing the incident as a major escalation. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported intercepting eight ATACMS missiles and 72 UAVs, with attacks impacting regions including Leningrad and Kursk. This follows President Putin’s earlier threats to respond to ATACMS use with the new “Oreshnik” missile. Simultaneously, Russia launched a large-scale drone attack against Ukraine, resulting in damage and casualties.
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Secretary Blinken revealed that Russia seriously considered using nuclear weapons in Ukraine, a prospect causing significant US concern. China’s intervention is believed to have prevented this escalation, suggesting a possible influence on Russian nuclear strategy. This intervention mirrors a similar situation involving a potential space-based nuclear launch. Despite Russia’s setbacks, including a strengthened NATO, the US maintains that providing Ukraine with advanced weaponry hasn’t heightened the nuclear threat.
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Ukraine’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SZRU) reports that Russia has deployed 140,000-180,000 convicts to fight in Ukraine since summer 2022, a recruitment effort initially managed by the Wagner Group and later by the Ministry of Defense. This recruitment significantly reduced Russia’s prison population, now estimated at 300,000-350,000, compared to 2014’s numbers. The recent elimination of a one-time payment to these prisoners indicates worsening economic conditions in Russia. Despite initial promises, these convicts receive significantly lower pay and fewer benefits than regular Russian soldiers, and some have re-offended upon their return.
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President Duda’s New Year’s address emphasized Poland’s unwavering commitment to its security, highlighting a strong military and robust alliances, particularly with the U.S., as crucial pillars. He advocated for increased NATO defense spending and prioritized strengthening EU-U.S. cooperation during Poland’s upcoming EU presidency. With 2025’s presidential elections approaching, Duda urged citizens to elect a successor prioritizing national security and upholding Poland’s sovereignty. He concluded by reflecting on Poland’s recent progress and expressing optimism for the future.
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Intense fighting continued across multiple fronts in Ukraine, with 138 combat clashes reported in a single day. Russian forces launched 89 assaults primarily focused on the Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, and Vremivka fronts, while also engaging in 10 battles within Russia’s Kursk Oblast. Ukrainian forces successfully repelled numerous attacks across various sectors, inflicting significant losses on Russian personnel and equipment. The ongoing conflict remains highly active and concentrated along the eastern and southern fronts.
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A Moscow court ordered Yandex to remove or alter images of the Ryazan Oil Refinery from its maps and photo services within one month. This action, prompted by a supervisory authority citing national security concerns, follows multiple Ukrainian drone attacks on the refinery in 2024. The court determined that publicly accessible imagery compromised Russia’s defense capabilities and fuel supply to the military. Yandex was fined, and the ruling reflects broader concerns about the vulnerability of Russia’s energy infrastructure to Ukrainian attacks.
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Russia’s halting of gas supplies to Transnistria, a Moldovan breakaway region, has immediately shut down all industries except food production. This action follows Ukraine’s refusal to renew a gas transit deal with Russia, leaving Transnistria, despite its ties to Moscow, critically short on energy. The region’s leader reported limited gas reserves and has switched the main power plant to coal. Moldova offered to help Transnistria procure gas from Europe, but at market prices, unlike the previous subsidized Russian supply. The situation underscores Europe’s reduced reliance on Russian energy and increased diversification of its sources.
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A criminal investigation in Ukraine is underway, targeting alleged desertion and abuse of power within the 155th Mechanised Brigade, a unit partly trained by France. Hundreds of soldiers reportedly deserted, with allegations of poor management and a commander’s replacement shortly before combat deployment. The investigation, encompassing articles 426-1 and 408 of the Ukrainian Criminal Code, is ongoing. Claims of desertion during both training in France and before combat deployment have been made public.
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A Russian drone strike on Kyiv on January 1, 2024, tragically killed prominent neurobiologist Ihor Zyma and his wife, biologist Olesia Sokur, both affiliated with Taras Shevchenko National University. The attack, which also resulted in injuries and further civilian deaths in other regions, underscores the devastating impact of the ongoing conflict. Ukrainian authorities reported numerous casualties across the country following a barrage of Russian drone attacks. The deaths of Zyma and Sokur represent a significant loss to the Ukrainian scientific community.
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Following the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced plans to restore diplomatic relations and economic cooperation with Syria, including the provision of Ukrainian grain through the “Grain from Ukraine” program. An initial shipment of 500 tonnes of wheat flour has already been delivered, with the initiative aiming to stabilize the situation and contribute to broader Middle Eastern peace. This aid is part of a larger effort that has already delivered over 221,000 tonnes of agricultural products to various countries. The move reflects Ukraine’s commitment to expanding its global trade partnerships while countering Russia’s influence in the region.
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John Q. Hosedrinker