Following a trial, three lawyers who previously represented Alexei Navalny—Vadim Kobzev, Igor Sergunin, and Alexei Liptser—received prison sentences ranging from three and a half to five and a half years. The lawyers’ legal work involved defending Navalny against a 19-year prison sentence. These convictions are the latest in a series of crackdowns targeting those associated with the opposition leader. The sentences highlight the increasingly repressive environment for lawyers and activists in Russia.
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A second Ukrainian drone strike on January 14th further damaged the oil depot at the Kristal plant in Engels, Russia, causing a four-day fire. The attack, confirmed by Ukraine’s General Staff, resulted in the deaths of two emergency responders and significant damage to fuel storage, reducing Russian military logistical capabilities. Governor Busargin reported the fire is largely contained, despite ongoing emergency response efforts and citizen complaints about smoke. The strike reportedly destroyed three and damaged six fuel tanks, impacting nearly 800,000 tons of storage capacity.
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Russia’s war in Ukraine has resulted in the deaths of at least 6,083 elite soldiers, representing a significant loss of highly trained personnel. These casualties, spanning various elite units including Airborne Forces and GRU special forces, highlight the substantial human cost of the conflict. While initially relying heavily on these elite units, Russia has increasingly depended on mobilized personnel and convicts, indicating significant depletion of its trained military forces. The actual number of Russian casualties is likely considerably higher than open-source data suggests, potentially reaching as high as 196,000.
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A Russian court sentenced three lawyers—Vadim Kobzev, Alexei Liptser, and Igor Sergunin—to prison terms ranging from three and a half to five and a half years for allegedly aiding Alexei Navalny’s extremist activities. The lawyers, detained since October 2023, were convicted of facilitating the transmission of Navalny’s prison messages, enabling him to maintain a public presence even after his death. The ruling is viewed as part of Russia’s broader crackdown on dissent, with Navalny’s widow and international organizations condemning the sentences as politically motivated. All three lawyers received professional bans following their prison sentences.
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In response to a January 15th Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine, two Norwegian F-35 fighter jets, based in Poland, were deployed for the first time to actively defend Polish airspace. This action underscores NATO’s commitment to its eastern flank, following a previous instance of Russian ordnance entering Polish airspace. Poland simultaneously announced an increase in its air force readiness, deploying additional fighter jets and enhancing ground defenses. This escalation comes despite previous advice for restraint regarding airspace violations and despite differing opinions on the appropriate response to such incursions.
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Ukraine launched its most extensive air offensive yet, striking multiple Russian regions with drones and missiles over 1000 kilometers from the border. The sophisticated attacks, utilizing decoys to overwhelm defenses, targeted military and industrial sites including oil refineries and airbases. This demonstrates Ukraine’s growing long-range capabilities and reliance on domestically produced drones and missiles, a shift driven partly by Western hesitancy to authorize strikes within Russia. These attacks are not only disrupting Russian logistics but also undermining the Kremlin’s narrative of invincibility and bolstering Ukrainian morale.
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A Russian court sentenced Captain Igor Pashkov, an air defense officer, to nearly three years imprisonment for the October 2023 downing of a Russian Mi-8 helicopter in Crimea. Pashkov mistakenly identified the helicopter as a Ukrainian drone, resulting in the deaths of three crew members. He confessed to the error, which involved misinterpreting reports of a low-flying target despite subsequent clarification that it was a friendly helicopter. The fatal missile was launched from a Tor-M2DT system.
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A French military aircraft, conducting a NATO observation flight near suspected Russian damage to submarine cables, experienced a radar jamming attempt and illumination by fire control radar. This aggressive action, confirmed by the French Armed Forces, highlights Russia’s active response despite the lack of identified suspicious vessels during the mission. The French crew’s professional conduct prevented escalation, likely due to the potential consequences of attacking a NATO aircraft. The incident follows the suspected damage to an Estonia-Finland power cable, attributed to a Russian vessel.
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In December 2024, a group of Russian diplomats participating in a public tour of the British Parliament briefly entered a restricted area of the House of Lords before being apprehended by security. Parliamentary officials suspect the intrusion was a deliberate act of defiance. Subsequently, a formal warning was issued prohibiting all Russian diplomats and embassy staff from visiting Parliament, a ban already in place since Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. This incident follows a history of strained UK-Russia relations, including prior expulsions of Russian personnel and restrictions on diplomatic activity.
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The U.K. announced a significant expansion of military aid to Ukraine, totaling £3 billion ($3.6 billion) this year, including 150 artillery barrels, a mobile air defense system, and an expanded international training initiative. This aid also includes the first release of £1.5 billion from a £2.26 billion G7 loan, repayable with frozen Russian assets, for Ukrainian procurement. Prime Minister Starmer’s visit to Kyiv culminated in a new 100-year partnership agreement with President Zelensky.
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