Nikolay Goltsev, a Russian-Montrealer, received a 40-month prison sentence for conspiring to illegally export over $10 million in restricted electronics to Russia. These components were used in Russian military systems deployed during the invasion of Ukraine. Goltsev and his wife, Kristina Puzyreva (who received a 24-month sentence), publicly professed support for Ukraine while secretly facilitating the procurement scheme. The Justice Department highlighted text messages revealing their true allegiances and intent to support Russia’s war effort. Goltsev also forfeited $4 million and additional assets.
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Unless substantial new U.S. aid is provided, Ukraine will likely face complete defeat and Russian control within the next 12-18 months. This presents a significant challenge for President-elect Trump, who previously promised a swift resolution to the conflict but now faces a reality where Putin seeks Ukraine’s complete capitulation. Trump must choose between accepting a humiliating global defeat or redoubling U.S. support for Ukraine, a decision impacting both Ukraine’s fate and the success of his presidency. Putin believes he is on the verge of victory and is unlikely to negotiate unless his military position changes drastically. A Russian victory would entail the complete eradication of Ukrainian independence and identity, resulting in widespread suffering and repression.
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A final meeting of Ukraine’s Western allies, including President Zelensky, will occur at Ramstein Air Base in Germany before Donald Trump’s inauguration. US Defense Secretary Austin will announce a significant new military aid package for Ukraine at this meeting. The gathering aims to solidify support for Ukraine before Trump assumes office, given his past criticisms of military aid to Kyiv and uncertain approach to the conflict. Both sides in the war are attempting to secure advantageous positions before the anticipated changes in US policy.
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A joint investigation by The Insider and Der Spiegel reveals that the Russian GRU, between 2016 and 2019, allegedly paid Taliban and other militant groups up to $200,000 per US/coalition soldier killed, totaling an estimated $30 million. The scheme utilized a network of Afghan couriers, operating under the guise of a gemstone trading company, to distribute funds coordinated by GRU officers like Alexey Arkhipov and overseen by Lieutenant General Ivan Kasyanenko. Key figures such as Rahmatullah Azizi, a central operative, relocated to Russia after the operation’s exposure. These payments fueled attacks against coalition forces, with the investigation highlighting hindered official inquiries and US reluctance to acknowledge the program’s existence.
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Finland’s Foreign Minister Elina Valtonen asserts that NATO membership offers Ukraine the only credible long-term security guarantee against future Russian aggression. While a potential Trump presidency raises concerns about a peace deal involving Ukrainian concessions, Valtonen suggests that Ukraine’s NATO aspirations aren’t necessarily doomed, citing Finland and Sweden’s recent NATO accessions as evidence. She also supports Trump’s call for increased European defense spending, aligning Finland’s proactive approach with this objective. The ongoing debate highlights the complex interplay between geopolitical concerns, potential peace negotiations, and the future of Ukraine’s security.
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A senior US official warned that North Korea’s deployment of over 12,000 troops alongside Russian forces in Ukraine provides Pyongyang with valuable combat experience, enhancing its military capabilities against neighbors. This collaboration, including the exchange of military technology, strengthens North Korea’s potential for future aggression and arms sales. The UN Security Council convened to address North Korea’s recent missile test, with Pyongyang justifying it as defensive, while the US highlighted the detrimental impact of this military cooperation. Despite concerns, further UN action is unlikely due to Russia’s veto power.
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In a rare public rebuke, Iranian Brigadier General Behrouz Esbati accused Russia of misleading Iran about its military actions in Syria, claiming that Russian airstrikes targeted empty deserts instead of Syrian rebels. Esbati, a senior commander in the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, partially blamed Russia for the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s government, citing this deception and Russia’s alleged inaction during Israeli strikes. He also highlighted internal Syrian corruption as a contributing factor. These accusations, while unverified, represent a significant departure from Iran’s official stance and reveal strained relations between Tehran and Moscow.
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Ukrainian forces successfully targeted a Russian oil depot in Engels, Saratov Oblast, disrupting fuel supplies to the nearby Engels-2 airbase. The joint operation, involving military intelligence and Unmanned Systems Forces, aimed to hinder Russian strategic aviation capabilities. This attack, approximately 600 kilometers from the front lines, reportedly caused damage to the Kristal Plant with no reported injuries. The General Staff asserted that the depot’s destruction significantly impairs Russia’s ability to launch attacks on Ukrainian civilians.
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From January 8th to 31st, Belarusian territorial defense forces, reservists, and military reserves will participate in military exercises in the Gomel district. These exercises, led by the Gomel district executive committee, will focus on personnel management and logistical support utilizing local mobilization resources. The training will involve collaboration with Belarusian Armed Forces engineering units, preparing conscripts for potential operational tasks. Notably, Gomel’s proximity to Ukraine’s Chernihiv Oblast highlights the strategic significance of these drills. This follows previous Belarusian military exercises near Poland and Lithuania, and participation in Russian nuclear weapons drills.
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Ukrainian forces launched a precision strike on the headquarters of Russia’s 810th Naval Infantry Brigade in Belaya, marking the second such attack in two weeks. This follows a previous strike on Christmas Day and repeated unsuccessful Russian assaults near Pogrebki. The 810th Brigade, significantly weakened after months of fighting, has suffered heavy losses and is being targeted with a variety of long-range weapons systems. These attacks highlight Ukraine’s growing deep-strike capabilities and the continued pressure on Russian forces in the Kursk region.
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John Q. Hosedrinker