Over the past three years, Russian coal exports have significantly decreased, falling to 195 million tonnes in 2024—a 17.5 million tonne drop from 2023 and a 26.2 million tonne decrease from 2022. This decline is attributed to a confluence of factors including Western sanctions, a European embargo on Russian coal, and severe logistical bottlenecks within the Russian railway system. These issues, coupled with historically low export prices, resulted in an overall loss of RUB 81 billion (US$810 million) for Russian coal companies. Consequently, Kemerovo Oblast, Russia’s primary coal-producing region, also saw production decline by 15.8 million tonnes.
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Former Ukrainian lawmaker and businessman Vadym Novynskyi, a wealthy individual and sponsor of a Moscow-backed church, has been charged in absentia with high treason and incitement to religious hatred by Ukrainian authorities. The State Bureau of Investigation alleges Novynskyi, a member of the banned Opposition Bloc, promoted pro-Russian narratives and acted as a handler for the Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine, following the instructions of Patriarch Kirill. He fled Ukraine after the full-scale invasion began and continues to engage in subversive activities abroad. A conviction could result in a prison sentence of up to 15 years.
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Ukraine’s inexpensive, heavy bomber drones, nicknamed “Baba Yagas,” are proving highly effective against Russian forces, inflicting substantial casualties despite underreporting due to verification challenges. These drones, including models like the Vampire and Kazhan, carry significant payloads and operate at ranges up to 12 miles, posing a significant threat despite facing countermeasures. Their success is evidenced by Russia’s repurposing of captured drones and the creation of a supply chain for their maintenance. The psychological impact on Russian soldiers is also considerable, with folklore surrounding the drones adding to their fearsome reputation.
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The Biden administration secretly funneled $1.5 billion to Ukraine’s drone program in September 2024, a previously undisclosed effort to bolster Ukraine’s defense capabilities against Russia. This support included funding for drone manufacturing and facilitated collaborations between American and Ukrainian tech firms, significantly enhancing Ukrainian drone production and effectiveness. The initiative, accelerated in response to Russia’s extensive drone use and Ukraine’s 2023 counteroffensive setbacks, yielded over 200,000 domestically produced drones by year’s end. These drones, crucial in reconnaissance, combat, and naval operations, have demonstrably impacted the conflict, contributing to significant losses for the Russian military.
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Reports indicate that Australian national Oscar Jenkins, a prisoner of war in Russia, may have been killed. Following these reports, the Australian government has expressed grave concern and summoned the Russian ambassador, vowing the strongest possible action if harm befell Jenkins. This would mark the first death of an Australian POW in over 50 years. Australia has repeatedly condemned Russia’s actions in Ukraine and provided substantial aid to the country.
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Lithuania’s Public Security Service (VST) has initiated heightened security measures at crucial power infrastructure, including the LitPol Link and NordBalt cable, ahead of the Baltic states’ planned disconnection from the Russian power grid on February 8th. This expedited security transition, originally slated for April, involves deploying advanced anti-drone systems and specialized weaponry to counter potential Russian retaliation. The enhanced security is in response to recent suspected sabotage incidents targeting Baltic Sea energy and telecommunications infrastructure, viewed as part of Russia’s hybrid warfare tactics. The move is deemed vital for Lithuania’s energy and national security, bolstering its independence from Russian energy supplies.
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A Moscow court sentenced three lawyers—Vadim Kobzev, Alexei Liptser, and Igor Sergunin—to prison terms ranging from three and a half to five and a half years for allegedly conveying messages from Alexei Navalny. The lawyers’ actions, deemed participation in an “extremist organization,” are viewed by rights groups as part of a broader crackdown on dissent. Kobzev, a prominent member of Navalny’s legal team, received the harshest sentence. This case highlights Russia’s continued suppression of Navalny’s legacy and those associated with him, even after his death. The sentences have drawn international condemnation.
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In response to the execution of two Ukrainian prisoners of war by Russian soldiers from the 40th Arctic Brigade, Ukraine’s Special Operations Forces conducted a targeted operation. The operation resulted in the deaths of three Russian soldiers and the capture of three others, who have reportedly confessed to the killings under orders from their commander. These actions followed numerous documented violations of the Geneva Conventions by Russian forces, including the reported execution of at least 124 Ukrainian POWs. The captured soldiers’ testimonies and the recovered bodies of the Ukrainian soldiers are now being used as evidence of these war crimes.
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A fire broke out at an oil depot in Lyudinovo, Russia, on January 17th, following a reported Ukrainian drone attack. Regional Governor Vladislav Shapsha confirmed the fire at an industrial facility, stating there were no casualties. The extent of the damage remains unclear, but the incident is part of a broader pattern of Ukrainian drone strikes targeting Russian energy infrastructure to disrupt its war effort. Ukraine’s military has yet to claim responsibility.
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SAS Captain Johan Lester reported GPS spoofing during an Oslo to Kirkenes flight, a phenomenon increasingly common near the Russian border. This spoofing, confirmed by Norwegian authorities, occurs alongside consistent GPS jamming originating from Russia, forcing airlines to implement alternative navigation procedures. The incident marks the first confirmed case of GPS spoofing on the Norwegian side of the border, prompting investigations and increased monitoring by Norwegian authorities. These actions include contacting international organizations and increasing their presence in the affected area.
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John Q. Hosedrinker