A Levada Center poll reveals a record high of 64% of Russian citizens now favor peace talks to end the war in Ukraine, a 6% increase since March. Support for continuing the war has concurrently decreased to 28%. This shift is particularly pronounced among younger people, women, and those critical of the government. However, significant portions of the population still blame Ukraine, the U.S., and European countries for obstructing peace negotiations.
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A Ukrainian drone strike, codenamed “Spiderweb,” targeted four Russian air bases on June 1, reportedly damaging or destroying a significant number of Russian nuclear-capable bombers, including Tu-95 and Tu-22 aircraft. While the SBU claimed damage exceeding $7 billion and the destruction of one-third of Russia’s cruise missile bombers, Kremlin sources suggested a lower figure of around 10 aircraft affected. Satellite imagery supports some of the damage claims, showing destroyed bombers at the Belaya air base. Despite the attack, the impact on Russia’s bombing campaign against Ukraine is expected to be minimal.
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Following a multi-month operation, Ukrainian forces claim to have successfully attacked the Kerch Strait bridge connecting Russia to occupied Crimea using underwater explosives. The strike, targeting the bridge’s underwater pillars, reportedly caused damage and resulted in the suspension of both road and maritime traffic. Russian officials have confirmed the traffic halt, though Moscow has yet to officially comment on the alleged Ukrainian attack. This strategically important bridge, built after Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea, is a significant symbol of Russian occupation.
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Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU) claimed responsibility for a new attack on the Crimean Bridge, utilizing underwater explosives to inflict significant damage on its supporting pillars. This marks the third such attack since 2022, showcasing the SBU’s ongoing efforts to disrupt Russian supply lines and inflict symbolic damage. The operation, involving 1,100 kilograms of explosives, temporarily halted both road and maritime traffic. The SBU chief, Vasyl Malyuk, emphasized the bridge’s legitimacy as a military target due to its crucial role in supplying Russian forces in Ukraine.
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In Vilnius, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and Norwegian Prime Minister Støre held talks centered on bolstering Ukraine’s defense capabilities. Key discussion points included increased air defense systems, potentially through Nordic collaboration, and significant Norwegian investment in Ukraine’s burgeoning drone production. Støre reaffirmed Norway’s commitment to supporting Ukraine’s defense industry, highlighting its existing participation in a drone coalition. The meeting underscored the continued international support for Ukraine’s defense efforts amidst the ongoing conflict.
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The U.K. unveiled a Strategic Defense Review, significantly increasing defense spending—the largest since the Cold War’s end—to counter escalating Russian threats. This includes a £15 billion investment in the nuclear warhead program and the construction of twelve new nuclear submarines through the AUKUS partnership. Furthermore, the plan boosts weapons production, adding 7,000 long-range weapons and six new munitions factories, with a £1.5 billion increase in weapons spending. The review cites the current threat as “more serious, more immediate, and more unpredictable than at any time since the Cold War.”
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In Istanbul talks on June 2nd, Ukraine presented Russia with a list of hundreds of deported Ukrainian children, demanding their return. Vladimir Medinsky, head of the Russian delegation, dismissively rejected the list, reportedly mocking the Ukrainian effort as a performance for childless European women. This dismissive response followed prior meetings between Ukrainian delegates and representatives from Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom. The incident highlights the ongoing tensions and disagreements surrounding the issue of forcibly deported Ukrainian children.
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Ukraine has received an invitation to the upcoming NATO summit in The Hague, announced President Zelensky following a meeting with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg in Vilnius. Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha will prepare for the meeting, though Zelensky’s attendance remains unconfirmed. This invitation comes amidst Ukraine’s ongoing conflict with Russia, a conflict fueled in part by Moscow’s opposition to Ukraine’s NATO aspirations. The summit is scheduled for approximately three weeks hence.
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Analysis of satellite imagery confirms the destruction of at least 13 Russian military aircraft at Belaya and Olenya air bases following a June 1st Ukrainian drone strike. The attack, codenamed “Spider Web,” involved 117 FPV drones targeting five airfields across three time zones, resulting in the loss of eight Tu-95 and four Tu-22M3 bombers, among other aircraft. This represents a significant blow to Russia’s strategic aviation capabilities, given that these bomber models are no longer in production. The estimated cost of the destroyed aircraft is approximately $7 billion.
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Following a meeting in Vilnius, Norway pledged to help Ukraine overcome a potential one billion euro winter gas deficit resulting from Russian attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. This support builds upon Norway’s substantial existing aid to Ukraine, totaling over $4.5 billion. The agreement addresses a shortfall in Ukrainian gas production caused by these attacks, ensuring sufficient supply for the Ukrainian population. Discussions also covered broader support for Ukraine, including air defense strengthening and bolstering drone production.
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John Q. Hosedrinker