Despite expectations of a large turnout for Kamala Harris among women, early exit polls show a smaller gender gap than anticipated, with Harris falling short of Joe Biden’s 2020 performance. This shortfall is particularly noticeable among Latina women, who saw a 10-point drop in support for Democrats, and non-college educated women, who maintained their preference for Trump. While Harris focused heavily on abortion rights during her campaign, this key issue, while popular, did not translate into a significant boost in her favor. Although abortion rights remain a strong issue for many Americans, the results suggest that it was not enough to sway enough women to support Harris.
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A surprising turnaround in Iowa sees Democrat Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump 47% to 44% in a recent Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, despite Iowa’s swing to the right in recent elections. The shift towards Harris is primarily driven by older and politically independent women. Trump however continues to lead with his core base, which includes men, evangelicals, rural residents, and non-college graduates. The poll was conducted from October 28-31 among 808 likely voters, including those who have already voted and those planning to. This development comes as a surprise given the state’s recent electoral history favoring Trump.
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The latest data suggests that women, who historically outvote men, are dominating early voting in the 2020 US Presidential election. Nationally, around 62 million early votes had been cast by 29 October, with 54% of these ballots cast by women, compared to 44% by men. This trend is replicated across many battleground states, displaying a 10-point gender gap in early voting. It has further been highlighted that the new group of voters expected to decide the election are mainly female registered democrats, poised to favor the Biden-Harris ticket. Since 1980, the number of female votes has consistently surpassed the number of male votes in each presidential election.
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Vice President Kamala Harris is polling significantly higher than Donald Trump among women, according to an ABC News/Ipsos national poll. Harris has a 14% lead over Trump overall with women, which increases to 23% for women with a college degree and 34% for women under the age of 40. The Brookings Institution credits Harris’ popularity with older voters to the 2022 Dobbs Supreme Court decision, which restricted abortion rights. Prominent pro-Trump figures have voiced concern over these poll numbers, especially as early voting data indicates a majority of female voters. In Pennsylvania, for example, 56% of mail-in ballots have come from women so far.
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Women are dominating early voting for the 2024 elections in the US, contributing 54% of the more than 58 million mail-in and in-person votes that have been cast, causing concern among Donald Trump’s supporters. In battleground states Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina, the gap is at least 10 points and in Pennsylvania, the largest swing state, women have cast 56% of the votes. It is not known how these women voted, but supporters of Trump fear this trend may sway the election in favor of Vice-President Kamala Harris. Harris has championed abortion rights in her campaign, aiming to appeal to all women, including Republican women dissatisfied with Trump. However, it is uncertain if the rise in female voters will be beneficial exclusively for Harris as Trump has recently encouraged all Republicans to vote early.
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Recent polls are showing a surprising turn of events as Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump as the election draws near. As a woman deeply invested in this election cycle, I find this trend particularly encouraging, especially given the crucial role women are playing in propelling her candidacy forward. This moment feels significant, not only for the Democratic ticket but for our country as a whole.
I think we can all agree that the political landscape over the last several years has been unsettling. The discourse around women’s rights—especially concerning reproductive health—has thrust many women into a political awakening. The fact that polls show Harris leading Trump, particularly among women, showcases that we are taking a stand in a way that could change the tide of this election.… Continue reading
As a woman of faith myself, I have often struggled to understand how any person who claims to follow religious values could support someone like Trump. It goes against the very core of what most religions preach – love, compassion, and respect for all. The recent rejection of Trump by Mormon women in Arizona is a glimmer of hope in what seems like a sea of blind loyalty to a divisive and destructive leader.
The fact that these women, primarily from the Maricopa County LDS community, are willing to stand up against Trump despite being lifelong Republicans speaks volumes about their integrity and values.… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker