Ukrainian forces are indeed currently managing to blunt Russia’s Pokrovsk offensive, primarily through a relentless counterbattery campaign, though the situation remains complex and the narrative surrounding it is often contested. The essence of the reports suggests that the battle for Pokrovsk, a town that has unexpectedly become a critical focal point, is being fiercely contested. It appears that the Ukrainian forces are leveraging superior intelligence and, crucially, a potent artillery capability to inflict significant damage on Russian forces, even in the face of overwhelming numerical superiority in manpower and equipment.
This counterbattery strategy seems to be proving particularly effective. The Ukrainians, despite facing an estimated 8:1 disadvantage in certain areas, are managing to create a “target-rich environment” for their artillery, a testament to their intelligence gathering and targeting capabilities.… Continue reading
Russia’s latest big Ukraine offensive gains next to nothing, again, and the grim reality is becoming clearer with each passing month. The much-vaunted Russian summer offensive, which began with such fanfare, has largely stalled, and the price they’re paying for it is astronomical. It’s a strategic disaster unfolding in slow motion, and the numbers tell the story of a military struggling to achieve even the most modest of goals.
The battlefield itself provides the starkest evidence. Despite launching waves of attacks, Russia has managed to seize a negligible amount of Ukrainian territory. We’re talking about a mere fraction of a percent, a statistic that hardly justifies the immense human and material cost.… Continue reading
Ukraine confirms a strike on a Crimean oil terminal, and the resulting three-day blaze, is a pretty major development, and it really makes you think about the strategic implications of such actions. The fact that this fire has been burning for such an extended period suggests the damage is extensive, and that has significant implications.
Crimea’s energy infrastructure is a critical logistical hub for Russian forces. This makes perfect sense, as a sustained fire like this could severely disrupt fuel supplies to the southern front. It really appears that Ukraine is strategically doubling down on deep-strike tactics. This autumn, that kind of pressure, hitting their infrastructure, is an effective way to put pressure on Russia.… Continue reading
Ukraine’s drone wall defense in the Pokrovsk offensive is proving incredibly effective, leading to staggering Russian losses. Reports indicate an extraordinary toll, with approximately twenty Russian soldiers either killed or wounded for every single meter of territory gained. This relentless defense highlights the devastating impact of Ukraine’s strategic deployment of drones.
The term “casualty ratio” is often used in military analysis, and here the reported figure is not a traditional casualty ratio, which would compare Ukrainian losses to Russian losses. Instead, it measures the cost in Russian lives for each meter of advance made by their forces. This paints a picture of incredibly fierce fighting, with every inch of ground costing the Russians dearly.… Continue reading
In August 2025, the rate of Russian territorial gains in Ukraine decreased by 18%, with 464 square kilometers seized, bringing the total occupied area to 19% of Ukraine. This mirrors the percentage held on October 3, 2022. DeepState attributed the decline in activity to the rotation of Russian units, with assault intensity lower than in the preceding three months due to redeployments and troop rotations. However, analysts predict an increase in Russian activity during September.
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According to Ukraine’s top military commander, Russia is rapidly escalating its mobilization efforts, intending to establish ten new military divisions by year-end, with two already formed. Despite suffering significant losses, estimated at over 33,200 personnel in July alone, Russia is adding approximately 9,000 troops monthly. In response, Ukraine is increasing its own mobilization, enhancing combat training, and bolstering its unmanned capabilities, as well as implementing military reforms to improve coordination and effectiveness.
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Russians are sending way more drones than they used to, a significant increase in the sheer number of unmanned aerial vehicles launched in the ongoing conflict. Reports indicate a tenfold increase, from a previous average of ten drones to eighty now. This dramatic escalation immediately raises questions about the implications of this shift in tactics.
This massive surge in drone deployments seems to represent a calculated strategic shift. The aim appears to be overwhelming Ukrainian air defenses through sheer volume, a strategy of attrition designed to wear down enemy capabilities. The cost-effectiveness of this approach becomes apparent when considering the relative expense of air defense systems versus the individual cost of drones.… Continue reading
Putin still believes he can win in Ukraine, and honestly, who can blame him? The Western assessment may be grim, but the reality is that he has the upper hand in this conflict. The war of attrition is playing right into Russia’s strategy, and unless Ukraine receives more support, Putin’s victory seems inevitable. It’s a harsh truth that we must accept.
The power dynamics at play in this conflict are clear. Russia has the time and resources on its side, and Putin knows this. He understands that as long as the West hesitates to send aid, Ukraine will struggle to stand its ground.… Continue reading
Matt Underwood 
John Q. Hosedrinker