The presidential notice declares the United States is in a noninternational armed conflict with designated terrorist organizations, though specific groups are not named. This broad classification allows the administration to continue unilateral actions against perceived threats. Critics point out that this interpretation stretches international law and could be used to justify violence against loosely organized groups. Experts like Brian Finucane suggest the lack of clarity regarding the targeted groups’ organization creates legal issues.
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The Kremlin has affirmed its commitment to continuing its offensive in Ukraine, despite President Trump’s recent shift in perspective branding Russia a “paper tiger.” Moscow dismissed Trump’s suggestion that Ukraine could win and stated the necessity of continuing the war to secure Russian interests, while also downplaying the effectiveness of prior attempts at rapprochement with the U.S. Meanwhile, concerns are escalating in Europe as a result of increased Russian military activity, including airspace violations by Russian aircraft, and reports of GPS disturbances affecting European leaders’ flights near the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad. Concurrent with these developments, Ukraine has intensified its drone attacks on Russian oil and gas infrastructure, with strikes reported on a petrochemical plant and the deaths of civilians in southern Russia.
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Although Russia has inflicted substantial casualties and destruction in Ukraine, Moscow has not formally declared war. This strategic decision stems from the Kremlin’s fear of domestic backlash, as a declaration of war would necessitate full mobilization and economic shifts. Despite the denial, experts note Russia’s economy is already on a wartime footing, with increased defense spending and production. Furthermore, a formal declaration would have significant geopolitical implications, signaling a more aggressive stance to the international community and potentially affecting Russia’s relationship with other nations.
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