Measles Poised to Become Endemic in US Due to Anti-Vaccination Movement
A new Stanford University study models the impact of declining US childhood vaccination rates, predicting a high probability (83%) of measles re-emerging as an endemic disease within the next two decades. This could result in over 850,000 cases, 170,000 hospitalizations, and 2,500 deaths over 25 years based on current vaccination coverage. The model considered state-level vaccination rates, demographics, and disease characteristics, highlighting measles’ high contagiousness. Continued low vaccination rates threaten the US’s elimination of measles, achieved in 2000.
John Q. Hosedrinker