According to President Zelenskyy, Ukraine and the European Union are on course to match Russia’s annual artillery round production by 2026. He indicated that slight acceleration by partner nations could ultimately give Ukraine and its allies an artillery advantage over Moscow. This increased production is a strategic move to ensure sustained ammunition supplies for Ukraine’s defense and reduce Moscow’s battlefield advantage. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has also reported that Europe’s artillery shell production has increased significantly in recent years.
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Ukraine’s defense industry has dramatically increased domestic production from under 10% to approximately one-third of its military equipment since the start of the Russian invasion. This surge is largely due to the “Danish model” of military aid, which funds locally produced weapons, resulting in a 25-fold increase in artillery and mortar production and a massive expansion of drone production in 2024. This model, exemplified by the rapid delivery of domestically produced Bohdana howitzers, offers significant cost advantages compared to Western alternatives. The success of this initiative has attracted international interest, with Ukraine aiming for even greater production and aiming to become a major arms supplier for the EU.
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