Ukraine war impact

Russian Businesses Pay Price for Ukraine War

Despite sanctions and Western company withdrawals, the Russian economy surprisingly withstood the impact of the war in Ukraine for over two years. Domestic spending remained robust due to increased defense spending and government-backed loans. The MOEX stock index, after an initial decline, showed a steady recovery. This resilience was achieved despite significantly reduced access to foreign markets and rising inflation. Ultimately, Russian businesses largely adapted to the altered economic landscape.

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Russia’s Ukraine War Diverts Resources, Leaving Syria Offensive Vulnerable

A Syrian rebel offensive, spearheaded by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), is rapidly advancing towards Aleppo, exceeding Russia’s capacity to counter. Russia’s limited response stems from the significant redeployment of its air assets to support the Ukraine campaign, leaving insufficient forces in Syria. Experts suggest Turkish involvement in planning and supplying the rebels, potentially exploiting weaknesses in the Syrian army and its Russian support. The offensive’s success may significantly damage Russia’s reputation and ultimately prompt a delayed, potentially Wagner-affiliated, response.

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