Following the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad, Syria’s new government has reportedly terminated the 2017 agreement granting Russia a 49-year lease on the Tartus port, demanding the immediate withdrawal of Russian forces. This action also reverses the revenue-sharing arrangement, with Syria now retaining all profits from the port. The Syrian government also implemented import bans on goods from Russia, Iran, and Israel. Moscow has yet to officially respond to these significant developments.
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After the loss of the Tartus naval base in Syria, Russia’s submarine presence in the Mediterranean Sea has reportedly vanished. This development carries significant implications for Russia’s naval power projection in the region, significantly limiting its strategic capabilities. The loss of this crucial facility, which served as a vital support hub for Russian submarines operating in the Mediterranean, leaves a noticeable gap in their operational reach.
The absence of Russian submarines from the Mediterranean raises questions about their future operations in the area. Without Tartus, the logistical challenges of maintaining a submarine presence become considerably more difficult. Maintaining submarines far from their home bases requires extensive support, including resupply, maintenance, and crew rotations.… Continue reading
Satellite imagery reveals a significant drawdown of Russian military equipment and personnel from key Syrian bases, including Hmeimim airbase and Tartus naval base, following the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad. Observed activities include the dismantling of military hardware and the movement of Russian convoys, suggesting a potential withdrawal. This shift reflects Russia’s response to the loss of a key ally and the uncertain future of its influence in the region. While the Kremlin downplays the impact, discussions with Syria’s new government are underway regarding the future of Russian military presence.
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Satellite images have undeniably revealed that Russia has abandoned its Tartus naval base in Syria. This development, confirmed by various sources, including Maxar satellite imagery and MarineTraffic data, shows a clear departure from the base, with Russian warships previously stationed there now positioned further offshore.
The absence of ships at the Tartus docks, coupled with reports from military bloggers and propagandists acknowledging the withdrawal, points toward a significant strategic shift for Russia. The Kremlin’s silence on the matter only amplifies the impact of this seemingly abrupt retreat.
This move comes amidst a period of significant upheaval in Syria, following the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime and the subsequent negotiations between Russia, Turkey, and Iran regarding the future of Russian military bases within the country.… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood