Former Democratic state representative Mary Robichaux has been elected as the new mayor of Roswell, Georgia, defeating incumbent Kurt Wilson. Robichaux secured victory with 53% of the votes, despite the backing of Republican Governor Brian Kemp for Wilson. This non-partisan election, which was forced into a runoff, is significant as Georgia is a key swing state, and local election results could foreshadow voting behavior in federal elections. The election also comes as another race in Tennessee was won by a Republican, although with a narrower margin than expected.
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Ten months into his second term, President Trump’s approval ratings highlight stark regional divisions across the United States. While his popularity remains strong in traditionally Republican states like Wyoming and Idaho, he faces significant disapproval in Democratic strongholds such as Hawaii. Polling data reveals that Trump’s net approval is underwater in most states, with negative ratings in key battleground states that will likely impact the upcoming 2026 midterm elections. Experts predict that such low approval ratings could lead to challenges for the Republican Party, potentially influencing congressional makeup and the president’s policy platform.
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In a significant shift, a Pennsylvania borough, a Republican stronghold for 113 years, elected Democrat Lincoln Kretchmar as mayor on November 4th. This victory is notable given Pennsylvania’s status as a key swing state, and the recent victory of Donald Trump. The Democrat’s win, fueled by concerns over the cost of living and a desire for government transparency, may signal a broader trend. Should this momentum continue, the GOP could face further losses in the 2026 midterms.
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Analysis of aggregated polling data reveals that former President Trump’s approval rating is negative in all seven swing states he won in the 2024 election. These states include Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, and Arizona, with approval ratings ranging from -7 to -13 percentage points. Declining popularity in these pivotal states could pose challenges for Republicans in the upcoming 2026 midterm elections and potentially shift the balance of power in Congress, as low presidential approval often impacts voter turnout and favors the opposing party. Factors such as economic concerns, including inflation and immigration policies, may contribute to this decline.
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President Trump’s approval rating has fallen below zero in fifteen states he won in the 2024 election, including all seven key swing states. This negative trend is particularly pronounced in states like Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, where disapproval significantly outweighs approval. The decline is attributed to recent policy decisions, including controversial tariffs and immigration actions that have sparked widespread protests. While Trump maintains strong support in several solidly Republican states, the overall downward trajectory suggests potential vulnerability.
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New polling data reveals President Trump’s approval rating is underwater in all key swing states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—despite winning them in the 2024 election. His disapproval ratings consistently exceed his approval ratings in these states, ranging from a -6 point margin in Georgia to a narrow -2 point difference in Nevada. These figures, collected since the start of Trump’s second term, suggest weakening support in crucial battleground areas, potentially impacting upcoming midterm elections and campaign strategies. While some dismiss the polls as “fake news,” the declining approval ratings are raising concerns among some political analysts.
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Donald Trump’s 2024 victory, while securing 312 electoral votes, fell short of a claimed “massive mandate,” achieving only 49.8% of the popular vote. His Electoral College win was exceptionally narrow, hinging on razor-thin margins in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. A shift of fewer than 115,000 votes across these three states would have given the victory to Kamala Harris. This highlights the highly contested nature of the election and undermines Trump’s claims of widespread support.
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In the recent midterm elections, voters exhibited a significant trend of “ticket-splitting,” casting ballots for candidates from different parties in different races. This phenomenon, though less common than in the past, proved decisive in key states, particularly in Senate races where Democrats outperformed President Biden’s performance. For example, in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada, Democrats won Senate seats despite the state voting for Trump for president. This suggests that voters are increasingly making nuanced decisions based on individual candidates rather than solely relying on party affiliation, highlighting the continued importance of local campaign efforts and voter outreach.
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Kamala Harris’ victory in Colorado is a significant win for the Democrats, but it’s not enough to secure the presidency. While many are celebrating the state’s vote, there’s a palpable sense of disappointment that this wasn’t a landslide victory for Harris. This echoes the frustration felt after Hillary Clinton’s loss in 2016, where some believed a lack of turnout was due to complacency. Now, there’s no excuse for low voter engagement, and the anxieties are real.
Despite the excitement surrounding Colorado, the national picture is far from rosy. The focus has shifted to the swing states, and there’s a growing sense of unease about the possibility of a Trump victory.… Continue reading
According to the final Times poll before the US election, Kamala Harris is set to become America’s first female president. The poll predicts Harris winning the “blue wall” battlegrounds of the north, as well as Nevada in the west, while Donald Trump is forecast to win Georgia and hold North Carolina. The two are evenly matched in Arizona. If these predictions hold, Harris would win the presidency by a margin of 276 electoral college votes to 262, making it the closest finish since 2000. Nonetheless, the poll falls within the margin of error for each of the states, leaving the race’s outcome uncertain.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood