Once a region firmly under Moscow’s influence, both Armenia and Azerbaijan are now distancing themselves from Russia. This shift is largely due to Russia’s perceived failure to support Armenia during conflicts with Azerbaijan and its subsequent inability to prevent Azerbaijan from reclaiming territory in Nagorno-Karabakh. Armenia has begun pivoting West, while Azerbaijan strengthens ties with Turkey. This shift is not only impacting Russia’s regional influence, but also cutting off vital channels for sanctions evasion and potentially hampering its war efforts in Ukraine.
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Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev are meeting in Abu Dhabi to finalize a peace agreement, marking a significant step after decades of conflict. This meeting takes place with Russia largely absent, a shift driven by Moscow’s diminished influence in the South Caucasus due to its war in Ukraine. Russia is attempting to regain its influence through disinformation campaigns and by trying to manage trade and transport between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Experts warn that even if Russia’s influence remains diminished, instability in the region may persist, as internal power struggles are anticipated.
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As tensions continue to rise in the South Caucasus region, the Azerbaijani President has made a bold statement declaring that they cannot afford to sit idly by while France, India, and Greece allegedly weaponize Armenia against them. This accusation highlights the complex web of alliances and conflicts that characterize international relations in the 21st century. It is a stark reminder that even small countries like Azerbaijan can become pawns in a larger geopolitical chess game.
The notion that countries like France, India, and Greece are actively arming Armenia against Azerbaijan is troubling. It raises questions about the motives behind such actions and the potential consequences for the region.… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker