Ukraine launched its most extensive air offensive yet, striking multiple Russian regions with drones and missiles over 1000 kilometers from the border. The sophisticated attacks, utilizing decoys to overwhelm defenses, targeted military and industrial sites including oil refineries and airbases. This demonstrates Ukraine’s growing long-range capabilities and reliance on domestically produced drones and missiles, a shift driven partly by Western hesitancy to authorize strikes within Russia. These attacks are not only disrupting Russian logistics but also undermining the Kremlin’s narrative of invincibility and bolstering Ukrainian morale.
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Russia reported a large-scale Ukrainian drone and missile attack involving U.S. and UK-supplied weaponry, targeting multiple locations including the Bryansk and Saratov regions. Moscow claimed to have intercepted all missiles and drones, vowing retaliation for what it deemed an escalation supported by Western powers. The attack caused damage to industrial sites and prompted flight restrictions in several Russian regions. A Ukrainian source claimed responsibility, targeting an airbase and other key facilities.
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A collaborative investigation by the BBC Russian Service, Mediazona, and volunteers estimates that up to 220,000 Russian soldiers have died in Ukraine since 2022, with at least 88,000 names verified. This figure, while lower than Ukrainian estimates of over 800,000 total casualties, still suggests a significant manpower strain on Russia. The analysis, compiled from open-source data, highlights 2024 as the deadliest year and details losses across various elite military units. The discrepancy in casualty figures underscores the difficulty in accurately assessing the war’s impact on Russia’s military capabilities.
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Ukrainian forces reportedly launched a drone strike on the Taneco oil refinery in Nizhnekamsk, Russia, a facility crucial for supplying the Russian military. This attack, the second on the refinery in less than a year, resulted in a reported fire, though Russian authorities denied this, attributing the visible flames to routine operations. The refinery boasts a significant refining capacity exceeding 16 million tons annually. Ukrainian officials claim such strikes hinder Russia’s war effort by disrupting fuel supplies.
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A January 3rd explosion in Shuya, Russia severely injured Captain Konstantin Nagayko, commander of the 112th Missile Brigade, who sustained critical shrapnel wounds. Nagayko, a veteran of the war in Ukraine, allegedly participated in the October 5th missile strike on a café in Hroza, resulting in the deaths of 59 Ukrainian civilians. His injuries are reportedly life-threatening, fueling negative morale within his brigade. The incident highlights the involvement of Russian military personnel in atrocities committed against Ukrainian civilians.
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Ukrainian President Zelenskyy affirmed that elections are contingent upon the cessation of active warfare and the subsequent lifting of martial law. He emphasized that current legislation prohibits elections under martial law, rendering them impossible until these conditions are met. Zelenskyy expressed his belief that elections should follow swiftly after the end of martial law. This aligns with the Ukrainian constitution, which dictates the legitimacy of the current government until a successor is elected.
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In its December 31st report, the General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces estimated total Russian troop losses since February 24, 2022, at 789,550, including 1,610 casualties in the preceding day. This staggering figure is accompanied by the destruction of significant military hardware, encompassing over 9,600 tanks, more than 20,000 armored vehicles, and thousands of artillery systems and aircraft. The losses also include substantial numbers of drones, vehicles, and naval vessels.
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In 2024, Russia suffered devastating losses in Ukraine, with Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi reporting 421,000 troops killed or wounded—the highest yearly toll since the invasion began. This contributed to a total of approximately 785,000 Russian casualties since February 2022. Ukraine’s successes included establishing a pioneering Unmanned Systems Forces and leveraging long-range strikes, significantly increasing the effectiveness of its military actions. To further enhance combat readiness, Ukraine extended basic military training for mobilized personnel to two months.
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Telegram has initiated a ban on several prominent Russian state media outlets within the European Union, including RIA Novosti, NTV, Rossiya 1, Izvestia, and RT, due to violations of local laws. These channels are inaccessible in various EU and associated countries, displaying messages citing legal infractions. This action follows a May EU ban on these outlets for war propaganda and mirrors similar restrictions imposed by other platforms like TikTok and Meta. The move is part of a broader effort to counter Russian disinformation campaigns related to the war in Ukraine.
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Ukrainian forces captured several seriously wounded North Korean soldiers, some of whom later died from their injuries; these are believed to be the first North Korean prisoners of war taken by Ukraine. Intelligence suggests thousands of North Korean troops have been deployed to the Kursk region, suffering significant casualties due to minimal protection provided by Russia. Russia’s alleged attempts to conceal these losses include falsifying identification documents and burning the bodies of deceased soldiers. Ukraine warns of the potential for further North Korean troop deployments to Russia.
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John Q. Hosedrinker