Following a previously agreed-upon October 2024 agreement, Russian border guards withdrew from the Agarak checkpoint on the Armenia-Iran border on January 1, 2025, leaving Armenian forces in sole control. This marks a significant step in Armenia’s reduced reliance on Russian security, following a similar Russian withdrawal from Zvartnots International Airport in Yerevan five months prior. The Russian presence at Agarak dated back to 1991. This action underscores Armenia’s broader shift away from its longstanding close relationship with Russia.
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It’s intriguing to see the dynamics playing out in Vovchansk between Russian and Ukrainian forces. The recent official statements hinting at a possible withdrawal from the city by Russian troops raise questions about the strategic implications and potential outcomes of such a move. The fact that the Russian Northern Group of Forces is starting to describe their efforts as defensive against a numerically superior Ukrainian force is telling. Could this be a realization that holding onto Vovchansk might not be sustainable in the long run?
The thought of Ukraine potentially pressing further into Russian territory, maybe even reaching Moscow, brings a whole new dimension to the conflict.… Continue reading