To bolster its flagging offensive in Ukraine, Russia has deployed assault units formed from personnel of its Strategic Rocket Forces (RVSN). These units, initially observed near the Russian-Donetsk Oblast border in November 2024, are now engaged in combat around Toretsk. The redeployment includes personnel from the RVSN’s 12th Main Directorate, responsible for nuclear weapons storage, and elements of the 132nd Motorized Rifle Brigade. Formation of these RVSN-based infantry units began as early as mid-2024, highlighting Russia’s increasing reliance on unconventional troop sources to sustain its war effort.
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A new Ukrainian general, often described as a highly effective and resourceful commander, is reportedly inflicting “unsustainable losses” on the Russian military. His rapid assessment of situations, ability to swiftly seize opportunities, and efficient use of resources are seen as key factors in his success. Some observers even suggest that his presence has dramatically altered the course of the war, highlighting his strategic acumen and battlefield leadership.
This general’s impact is particularly significant considering ongoing reports of Russian territorial gains, albeit often limited to small villages, in the eastern Donetsk region. While Russia claims to have seized settlements like Skudne and Burlatske, the strategic significance of these gains remains debatable.… Continue reading
Initially, Russian forces effectively utilized UMPK glide bombs, achieving significant battlefield gains. However, widespread Ukrainian electronic jamming has severely degraded the bombs’ accuracy by disrupting their GLONASS satellite guidance. This necessitates the use of multiple bombs per target, increasing costs and risks for the Russian air force. The effectiveness of Ukrainian jamming contrasts sharply with the limited success of Russian jamming efforts and highlights a key technological advantage for Ukraine. This situation underscores the critical role of effective electronic warfare in modern combat.
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Videos and testimony reveal the Russian military is returning wounded soldiers, some on crutches, to the front lines due to severe manpower shortages. This practice, confirmed by Western officials and a Ukrainian defense intelligence official, involves redeploying soldiers with significant injuries, even those recently operated on, to combat roles. This tactic, observed over the past six months, appears to be an attempt to mask losses and avoid paying compensation to families of soldiers killed in action. The practice highlights Moscow’s struggle to maintain its offensive without a broader, potentially unpopular, mobilization.
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Explosive-laden drone goggles, specifically Skyzone Cobra X v4 FPV glasses, were sent to Russian military operators as part of a sabotage attempt. The operation, executed via a humanitarian aid shipment orchestrated by an individual named Roman, highlights a novel approach to disrupting enemy capabilities. The sheer volume of requests for the explosive-laden goggles from puzzled Russian officers, even suggesting a desire for “misery to end,” reveals the impact of the operation, even if unintended.
The incident has sparked a vigorous debate surrounding humanitarian aid to Russia. The potential for such aid to be repurposed for malicious activities raises serious questions about its continued viability.… Continue reading
Images of donkeys being used by Russian forces in Ukraine have gone viral, prompting a defense from several Russian officials. These officials, including members of the State Duma’s defense committee, attribute the use of donkeys to significant logistical difficulties in supplying front-line units with ammunition and food. They argue that employing pack animals is a viable solution, prioritizing the preservation of troops and vehicles. While the extent of donkey deployment remains unclear, the Russian Defense Ministry has not yet commented on the matter.
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On February 6th, Ukrainian forces launched a battalion-sized mechanized assault in Kursk Oblast, advancing up to 5 kilometers behind Russian lines. The assault, involving 30-50 armored vehicles, resulted in the seizure of Kolmakov and Fanaseyevka, with conflicting reports regarding Ukrainian control of Cherkasskaya Konopelka and Ulanok. Intense fighting ensued, with Russian sources reporting heavy Ukrainian losses but acknowledging continued Ukrainian presence near the contested settlements. The Ukrainian General Staff reported repelling several Russian attacks, while the Russian Defense Ministry claimed to have repelled all Ukrainian advances.
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Despite Kremlin claims of ample tank production and supply, battlefield evidence indicates a severe shortage of Russian armored vehicles. Large-scale tank assaults have become infrequent since early 2024, with Russian forces increasingly relying on infantry and lighter vehicles. This decline is attributed to unsustainable tank losses significantly exceeding replacement rates, as confirmed by open-source intelligence analysis and Ukrainian battlefield reports. The resulting scarcity of tanks is dramatically impacting Russian offensive capabilities.
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A fire aboard the aging Russian spy ship Kildin off the Syrian coast, along with recent similar incidents, highlights the Russian navy’s deteriorating condition. The incidents, occurring amidst Russia’s potential loss of its Tartus base in Syria, underscore chronic maintenance and readiness issues within the fleet. These problems are exacerbated by the smaller, less durable vessels prioritized post-Cold War, making long-distance operations challenging. Loss of Tartus would severely impact the Russian navy’s Mediterranean presence, forcing reliance on less desirable alternatives in Algeria, Sudan, or Libya, each presenting significant political and logistical hurdles.
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North Korean troops’ deployment to the Ukrainian front lines has been a topic of considerable discussion, and recent reports suggest their withdrawal. This isn’t necessarily a sign of success for North Korea, but rather a consequence of the brutal realities of modern warfare and the limitations of outdated tactics. It appears their initial deployment was a strategic gamble by Russia, desperate for manpower and artillery support.
The initial hope was that North Korea, with its vast reserves of artillery shells—estimated to account for half of Russia’s daily munitions—could bolster the Russian war effort. This was a gamble based on the sheer volume of shells available, regardless of their quality or reliability.… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood