According to German Major General Christian Freuding, Russia is preparing to launch up to 2,000 drones simultaneously on Ukraine, indicating a significant expansion of its drone production capabilities. Freuding emphasizes that this mass deployment could overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses, necessitating the development of cost-effective counter-drone solutions. He also highlighted that effective responses should include strikes on Russian military infrastructure and noted China’s exclusive export of drone components to Russia, effectively cutting off Ukraine from this supply chain.
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On July 11, a Ukrainian MiG-29 successfully struck a Russian military crossing in the Zaporizhzhia region with two US-made GBU-62 bombs upgraded with JDAM-ER kits. These precision-guided munitions, which utilize GPS and inertial navigation for accuracy and extended range, were instrumental in targeting a temporary crossing vital for supplying Russian troops near Kamianske. The gradual degradation of Russian air defenses has enhanced the effectiveness of these strikes, contributing to Ukraine’s defensive strategy of targeting logistics and infrastructure. This action is part of a larger effort to disrupt Russian advances, as seen in the recent precision airstrike on a Russian troop concentration in Russia’s Belgorod region.
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Reports indicate that Colonel Sergei Ilyin, commander of the Pacific Fleet’s 155th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade, was killed in Ukraine during the special military operation. The independent Telegram news channel Astra reported this, citing a now-deleted post from officials in Ilyin’s hometown, which included his birth and death dates. Furthermore, on the same day, reports surfaced about the death of 11 senior Russian military officers, including Navy Deputy Commander Mikhail Gudkov, in a Ukrainian missile strike. The Russian Defense Ministry confirmed Major General Gudkov’s death, but did not specify the cause or mention other reported casualties.
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According to the UK’s Ministry of Defence, Vladimir Putin has lost 16 generals in battle since the war began in Ukraine. This substantial loss has undermined command and control within the Russian Armed Forces, contributing to operational difficulties. Major General Mikhail Gudkov was the latest casualty, dying in a Ukrainian strike. Despite these losses and significant military attrition, Putin has refused to consider long-term ceasefire agreements and still aims to annex all of Ukraine.
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The Defence Intelligence of Ukraine (DIU) released footage showcasing UJ-26 Bober drones, now equipped with thermal imaging cameras, successfully targeting Russian air defense systems, including a Pantsir-S1 and various radar systems, as well as a Russian Navy Su-30 fighter jet in occupied Crimea. The video highlights a new catapult launch system, enhancing the drone’s speed and aerodynamic performance compared to previous launch methods. The UJ-26 Bober, a long-range UAV with an 800-kilometer range and a 20 kg warhead, is gaining prominence in Ukraine’s defense capabilities. Furthermore, this development coincides with increased international support, with countries like the Netherlands investing significantly in Ukrainian drone production.
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Recent reports indicate that over 20,000 Russian soldiers have faced prosecution for refusing to fight in Ukraine, with the majority of cases involving AWOL violations. Independent media outlets have documented these cases since September 2022, revealing a significant number of convictions. Such actions suggest a systematic program of abuse within the Russian military, potentially aimed at maintaining order. Despite these challenges, Russia continues its war effort and recruits thousands of soldiers monthly, with the armed forces set to expand further.
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During a recent prisoner and body exchange following June 2nd Istanbul talks, Ukraine received 6,057 bodies of its fallen soldiers, while Russia received 78. However, Ukrainian officials discovered that some of the remains returned by Russia were, in fact, Russian soldiers in Russian uniforms, such as one identified as Alexander Viktorovich Bugaev. This revelation, according to Interior Minister Ihor Klymenko, demonstrates Russia’s disregard for its own soldiers. The incident highlights the ongoing tensions and lack of comprehensive agreement on prisoner and body exchanges between Ukraine and Russia.
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Early on June 14th, Ukrainian Defense Intelligence agents successfully sabotaged a Kaliningrad power substation, disabling military and industrial facilities. The operation involved draining coolant from a transformer, resulting in a fire and significant damage estimated at $5 million. This attack underscores Ukraine’s ongoing efforts to disrupt Russian military capabilities within Russia itself and occupied territories. The action was framed as a continuation of Ukraine’s strategy to deny Russia a safe rear area.
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On June 14th, Ukrainian Defence Intelligence agents successfully targeted a Kaliningrad power substation, causing a complete electricity outage. The attack, involving draining coolant and igniting a transformer, disrupted power to both civilian consumers and nearby Russian military and defense industrial facilities. The estimated cost of the damage to Russia is nearly $5 million. This operation highlights the ongoing effectiveness of Ukrainian intelligence operations within Russia.
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Colonel General Andrei Mordvichev has been appointed the new commander of Russia’s ground forces, replacing General Oleg Salyukov. Mordvichev, known for his brutal, attritional combat tactics, oversaw the sieges of Mariupol and Avdiivka, resulting in significant Ukrainian casualties. His appointment, reported amidst ongoing peace talks, suggests the Kremlin’s endorsement of these tactics. Mordvichev’s close relationship with Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov further highlights his rise through the ranks.
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John Q. Hosedrinker