A Russian cargo vessel, Sparta, tasked with evacuating military equipment from Syria, experienced engine failure near Portugal, leaving its crew adrift. Simultaneously, remaining Russian forces in Syria have consolidated at Khmeimim and Tartus bases, amidst ongoing discussions regarding a complete withdrawal by February 2025. This withdrawal is potentially linked to Syria’s pursuit of sanctions relief. The potential loss of Syrian bases could significantly hinder Russia’s African operations.
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A $4.5 million Antonov An-72 military transport aircraft, belonging to the Russian Navy, exploded at Moscow’s Ostafyevo airfield on December 12, 2024. The Defense Intelligence of Ukraine attributed the blast to the detonation of the aircraft’s main power plant, though it did not claim responsibility. This incident follows the recent destruction of a Crimean radar system, highlighting the ongoing strain on Russia’s military resources amid the war in Ukraine. The timing is significant given Russia’s economic challenges and ongoing conflict.
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A new report from South Korea’s National Intelligence Service reveals that at least 100 North Korean soldiers have been killed and 1,000 wounded fighting in Ukraine alongside Russian forces. These troops, deployed primarily as front-line infantry, reportedly lack essential capabilities like drone countermeasures, prompting complaints from the Russian military. Further, intelligence suggests Kim Jong Un is preparing a specialized unit for deployment to Ukraine. This deployment of North Korean troops has been characterized as “cannon fodder” by experts, with President Zelensky highlighting the unnecessary sacrifice of North Korean lives in the conflict.
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President Putin declared the successful completion of his order to expand the Russian army to 1.5 million servicemen, achieved through a high daily recruitment rate. This expansion includes the creation of new military districts and units. Simultaneously, mass production of the Oreshnik missile system will commence. Defense Minister Belousov warned of a potential future conflict with NATO, citing recent NATO summit decisions.
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Artyom Antonov, a 19-year-old Russian conscript, was fatally shot in the head at a Primorsky Krai training range on October 21st. A police document indicates the shooting stemmed from Antonov’s refusal to deploy to the Kursk region, where Ukrainian forces are active, and his subsequent alleged torture at the hands of his commanding officers. Antonov’s family reported his body showed signs of a beating and a head wound, alleging a cover-up by the military. This incident contradicts Kremlin assurances that inexperienced conscripts would not be deployed to combat zones.
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Russia’s army is undeniably larger than it was two years ago, a significant increase in sheer numbers. However, this growth hasn’t translated into a stronger fighting force; in fact, the quality of the Russian military has demonstrably decreased. This is evident in several key areas.
The high casualty rate among Russian soldiers speaks volumes. The sheer number of deaths and the reliance on conscripts, many of whom lack adequate training, highlight a critical flaw in the Russian military’s approach. The emphasis on quantity over quality, a strategy reminiscent of past conflicts, proves disastrous in the face of modern warfare. This isn’t merely about a lack of advanced weaponry; it’s a fundamental issue of soldier preparedness and effectiveness.… Continue reading
Colonel General Gennady Anashkin, commander of the South Forces Group, was dismissed from his post for allegedly falsifying reports on battlefield progress near Siversk, Donetsk. This dismissal, reported by Russian media and military bloggers, follows criticisms of misleading information resulting in significant Russian losses. While the Ministry of Defense cites a planned rotation, bloggers suggest the removal is due to inaccurate reports. The incident highlights the reliance on military bloggers for information amidst the ongoing conflict and Ukraine’s ongoing intense defense.
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As of November 22nd, an estimated 60,000 Russian troops, augmented by approximately 11,000 North Korean soldiers, are concentrated in Russia’s Kursk Oblast. These forces aim to establish a buffer zone along the Sumy Oblast border, countering Ukraine’s August incursion. Ukrainian forces, having initially gained ground, are holding their positions in Kursk Oblast while Russian forces have retaken approximately half of the initially lost territory. The ongoing conflict has resulted in significant Russian casualties, with over 7,900 killed, 12,200 wounded, and 717 captured in the three months since the offensive began.
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Several Russian officers have been arrested for falsifying battlefield reports claiming territorial gains near Siversk. These fabrications, allegedly driven by a desire to impress Moscow, are now under investigation, impacting commanders from multiple brigades. This action reflects a change in Moscow’s approach to military failures, exposing internal struggles and weakening Russia’s war effort. The arrests highlight a breakdown in trust and reveal the challenges Russia faces in achieving battlefield success. Continued Ukrainian resistance and sustained Western support exacerbate these internal weaknesses.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood