By the end of 2025, Russia’s irrecoverable losses in the war are projected to reach 1.2 million, a figure unseen since World War II, despite starting the war with approximately 1 million active-duty troops. This represents the effective destruction and rebuilding of the Russian army, now expanded to 1.5 million active personnel. The casualty rate includes those killed and severely wounded, with the proportion of killed soldiers rising annually. Despite these staggering losses and minimal territorial gains, the Kremlin shows no sign of relenting, continuing its strategy of relentless infantry assaults. This echoes the brutal tactics of the Soviet Union during World War II, prioritizing relentless attacks over the value of human life.
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As of December 13, 2023, the General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces reported that Russia has suffered approximately 1,187,780 troop losses since the full-scale invasion began in February 2022, including 1,300 casualties in the last day. The report also detailed significant equipment losses, citing the destruction of thousands of tanks, armored vehicles, artillery systems, and other military assets. These figures underscore the considerable human and material costs Russia has incurred during the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
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Following a devastating Russian attack on Kyiv that killed 30 and injured 172, Ukrainian President Zelensky declared the assault “deliberate terror” with no military justification. He called for increased Western sanctions and further “entirely justified” losses inflicted upon Russia for its aggression. Ukraine continues to launch successful long-range strikes on Russian military targets, including airfields and weapons factories, while simultaneously proposing an unconditional ceasefire that Russia continues to reject. Amidst escalating conflict and mounting Russian casualties, Kyiv is developing its own long-range weapons capabilities.
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Ukraine launched a massive drone strike on several Russian air bases deep inside Russian territory, resulting in significant damage and losses for the Russian military. The scale of the operation is astonishing, with reports suggesting that around forty Russian military aircraft, including strategic bombers, were hit. The sheer number of aircraft damaged or destroyed represents a substantial blow to Russia’s air power, estimated to be worth around $10 billion. Replacing these aircraft will be a monumental task, both in terms of time and resources, considering the current sanctions and supply chain issues faced by Russia.
The audacity of the attack itself is striking.… Continue reading
In the past day, Russia suffered significant losses, with 990 soldiers killed or wounded and over 300 pieces of military equipment destroyed. These losses add to the already staggering total estimated since February 24, 2022, including nearly one million military personnel and tens of thousands of armored vehicles and artillery systems. The reported figures encompass a wide range of military assets, from tanks and aircraft to drones and cruise missiles. Confirmation of these numbers is ongoing.
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UK Defence Intelligence reports that Russian casualties in the Ukraine war continue to rise, with approximately 160,000 personnel lost in the first four months of 2025 alone. This brings total estimated losses to around 950,000 dead and wounded since the invasion began. While April 2025 losses were lower than the peak rates of late 2024, they remain significant, making 2025 the costliest year of the conflict so far in terms of Russian personnel. Despite these heavy losses, Russia has not achieved substantial territorial gains in Ukraine.
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Despite months of intense fighting and slow, incremental gains south of Pokrovsk, Russia’s attempt to capture the strategically important Ukrainian town has failed, according to a Ukrainian think tank head. Moscow’s advances have been thwarted by effective Ukrainian defenses, disrupting Russia’s planned summer offensive and timeline. High Russian casualties, consistent with their “meat grinder” tactics, underscore the failure. While Russia claims recent territorial gains, Ukraine reports repelling numerous attacks and maintains control of Pokrovsk.
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The Russian Navy newspaper warned that relatives of Russian soldiers are inadvertently aiding Ukraine by sharing their loved ones’ locations online, leading to precision strikes. This information is reportedly compiled by Ukrainian intelligence and used to target Russian troops and training grounds. The warning, promoted by pro-war blogger Anastasia Kashevarova, calls for the prosecution of these women. The article notes Kashevarova’s ties to Russian militant groups and Ramzan Kadyrov, highlighting the context of this alarming message within a pro-war media landscape.
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Russia’s war in Ukraine has resulted in the deaths of at least 6,083 elite soldiers, representing a significant loss of highly trained personnel. These casualties, spanning various elite units including Airborne Forces and GRU special forces, highlight the substantial human cost of the conflict. While initially relying heavily on these elite units, Russia has increasingly depended on mobilized personnel and convicts, indicating significant depletion of its trained military forces. The actual number of Russian casualties is likely considerably higher than open-source data suggests, potentially reaching as high as 196,000.
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In its December 31st report, the General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces estimated total Russian troop losses since February 24, 2022, at 789,550, including 1,610 casualties in the preceding day. This staggering figure is accompanied by the destruction of significant military hardware, encompassing over 9,600 tanks, more than 20,000 armored vehicles, and thousands of artillery systems and aircraft. The losses also include substantial numbers of drones, vehicles, and naval vessels.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood