Ukraine’s new defense minister revealed several significant challenges facing the military, including widespread desertions and approximately 2 million draft dodgers, as the war with Russia continues. Mykhailo Fedorov highlighted issues such as bureaucratic inefficiencies and supply chain disruptions. Despite these hurdles, Ukraine’s defense sector has experienced substantial growth in drone, electronic warfare, missile, and robotics manufacturing since the full-scale invasion began. Fedorov also announced a funding shortfall of 300 billion hryvnia, while the European Union pledged financial support to help fund Ukraine’s military and economy.
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Russian garrison courts in northern regions have seen a dramatic surge in cases of soldiers refusing to serve since the start of the full-scale war in Ukraine, with thousands of verdicts issued under articles addressing unauthorized absence, desertion, and feigning illness. These cases, predominantly for unauthorized absence, represent a significant increase compared to pre-war levels, highlighting widespread resistance to military service. The severity of punishment varies depending on the specific charge, with desertion carrying the most significant penalty. While precise nationwide figures are difficult to obtain due to limited transparency, available data suggests tens of thousands of such cases across Russia in 2024.
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Over 1,000 soldiers, including officers, deserted Russia’s 20th Guards Motor Rifle Division, as revealed by an internal document obtained by iStories. This mass desertion, comprised of contract soldiers, mobilized personnel, and conscripts, followed significant losses and repeated Ukrainian attacks on the division’s headquarters. The desertion rate has steadily increased since the war’s beginning, peaking in July 2024. While the desertion of such a large number of soldiers from a single division is significant, Russia continues to field multiple divisions in the conflict.
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A leaked document reveals that over 1,000 soldiers from Russia’s 20th Guards Motor Rifle Division have deserted since the beginning of the Ukraine war. This figure comprises professional soldiers, mobilized troops, and conscripts, highlighting a significant desertion rate within a single division. The IStories report suggests this may represent a much larger problem, given the numerous divisions involved in the conflict. Many desertions occurred early in the war, fueled by the conflict’s extended duration exceeding initial promises. The report underscores the limitations of official Russian accounts regarding military desertions.
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John Q. Hosedrinker