Finland anticipates a Russian troop buildup along their shared border following the Ukraine war, with satellite imagery revealing expanded military infrastructure near the Finnish border. This activity, though currently moderate, involves infrastructure improvements and equipment deployment, prompting close monitoring by Finnish defense forces. While there’s no immediate military threat, Finland, as a NATO member, is preparing for potential worst-case scenarios. Despite this, the situation is not causing widespread alarm among Finnish citizens, who have become accustomed to Russia’s actions.
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Satellite imagery reveals a significant buildup of Russian military forces near Finland’s eastern border, including expanded bases at Kamenka, Petrozavodsk, Severomorsk-2, and Olenya. This activity, observed since February 2025, involves new troop accommodations, aircraft deployment, and infrastructure construction, suggesting a reinforcement of Russia’s military presence following Finland and Sweden’s NATO accession. Analysts interpret this as a delayed response to NATO expansion, potentially concealing the true scale of military hardware and personnel. These developments are being closely monitored by Finnish and Swedish defense officials.
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NATO intelligence reveals continued, significant Russian missile production, suggesting stockpiling for future large-scale attacks despite a current reduction in missile strikes. This build-up mirrors past Russian tactics of alternating between periods of reduced strikes and stockpiling before launching major offensives. The shift towards increased drone usage doesn’t negate Russia’s need for large-scale missile attacks to achieve military and psychological impact. Intelligence confirms this production alongside reported purchases from North Korea.
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John Q. Hosedrinker