Russian forces shelled Kurakhove in the Donetsk region on November 11th, resulting in the destruction of the Stari Terny dam of the Kurakhove reservoir. This has caused the Vovcha River to rise by one meter, flooding nearby villages and potentially threatening settlements downstream. The extent of the damage to the dam remains unclear due to ongoing Russian shelling, but there is evidence that water is reaching settlements in the Velykonovosilkivska community. The Kurakhove sector remains a heavily contested area, with Russian forces attempting to advance daily, highlighting the ongoing danger and vulnerability of the region.
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Following a pause due to the pandemic and the invasion of Ukraine, Russia plans to resume major public sector layoffs in 2024. This initiative, aiming to cut 10% of staff in territorial branches of federal agencies by 2025, seeks to free up funds to increase salaries for remaining employees. The goal is to reduce the workforce in these branches by approximately 40,000 people, or 0.5% of the country’s overall workforce. While some agencies may achieve this through unfilled positions, the move could result in higher salaries for those remaining, reaching up to 80,000 rubles per month. Notably, employees in Russia-installed administrations in occupied Ukrainian territories will be exempt from these layoffs.
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Russia is mounting a major offensive in the Kursk region, aiming to reclaim territory seized by Ukraine in a surprise incursion last August. Tens of thousands of Russian troops, including North Korean soldiers, are participating in the offensive, which has been anticipated for weeks. This comes as the two sides have exchanged an intense wave of drone attacks, resulting in civilian casualties. The offensive’s timing is significant, as it coincides with the election of Donald Trump, whose stance on the war and potential negotiations with Russia and Ukraine remains uncertain. The situation in Kursk is expected to be a key bargaining chip in any future peace negotiations.
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The Washington Post reported that President-elect Donald Trump had a phone conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin on November 7th, during which they discussed the ongoing war in Ukraine. The Kremlin has vehemently denied this report, calling it “pure fiction” and “completely untrue.” The alleged conversation occurred shortly after Trump’s election victory and amidst speculation about his foreign policy approach. The Washington Post claimed the call included discussions about de-escalation in Ukraine and the significance of U.S. military presence in Europe, while Trump reportedly expressed interest in resolving the conflict.
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On November 11th, Ukraine reported a record high of 1,770 Russian casualties in a single day, surpassing the previous record of 1,740 set on May 13th. This brings the total number of Russian casualties to 710,660, according to Ukraine’s General Staff. While the Kremlin remains silent on troop losses, Western officials have confirmed October as the deadliest month for Russian forces, with estimates ranging from 1,354 to 1,500 casualties per day. Despite suffering record losses, Russian forces have made significant territorial gains in eastern Ukraine, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, putting pressure on Ukrainian defenses and prompting concerns about a potential escalation.
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Recent estimates from British officials indicate that Russian forces suffered an average of 1,500 casualties per day in October, marking the highest monthly figure since the war began. This surge in losses, which may be contributing to Russia’s deployment of North Korean troops, has resulted in significant territorial gains for Russia, particularly in southern Donetsk Oblast. Despite these setbacks for Ukraine, our unwavering support for Kyiv will continue “as long as it takes,” ensuring their ability to defend their territory and achieve victory.
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Following a recent phone conversation with Vladimir Putin, President-elect Trump expressed his intention to prevent an escalation of the war in Ukraine, emphasizing the substantial US military presence in Europe. Trump, who had previously claimed to be able to end the war within a day, expressed interest in future discussions aimed at achieving a swift resolution to the conflict. This conversation comes amidst ongoing efforts by the Biden administration to ensure a peaceful transfer of power and emphasize the importance of continued US support for Ukraine.
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Mediazona, a Russian independent media outlet, and BBC Russia have identified the names of 77,143 Russian soldiers killed since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, based on publicly available information. This figure is likely a significant undercount, as it only reflects verified data from sources such as obituaries and official reports. The casualties have increased substantially in recent months, with October marking the deadliest month for Russian forces. The deployment of North Korean troops to Russia may be linked to these losses, with President Zelensky confirming their presence and casualties in Kursk Oblast. The average age of volunteer recruits killed in action is increasing, with a plurality falling between 48 and 50 years old. The bloodiest day for Russian forces was May 13th, with an estimated 1,740 casualties.
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On November 10th, Russia reported that its air defenses successfully shot down 70 Ukrainian drones, including 34 in Moscow Oblast, during the largest drone attack on the Russian capital to date. The attack, which began around 7:00 a.m. Moscow time, involved drones entering Russian airspace from multiple locations, including Bryansk, Oryol, Kaluga, Kursk, and Tula oblasts. While unverified footage of drones and resulting damage surfaced on social media, Russia reported at least one person injured in Moscow Oblast, with airport operations temporarily halted due to the threat. Notably, this attack coincided with Russia’s largest drone attack on Ukraine overnight, involving 145 drones, highlighting the escalating use of unmanned aerial vehicles in the ongoing conflict.
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Russia has amassed approximately 50,000 troops, including North Korean soldiers, in the Kursk region, preparing for a potential offensive. While a major offensive has yet to begin, US and Ukrainian officials believe an attack involving North Korean troops is imminent. The North Korean forces, divided into assault and support units, have received training from Russia in artillery fire, infantry tactics, and trench clearing. Although the Ukrainian defense is expected to hold, both Russian and North Korean forces are likely to suffer significant casualties, mirroring the losses experienced in eastern Ukraine.
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John Q. Hosedrinker