Mediazona, a Russian independent media outlet, and BBC Russia have identified the names of 77,143 Russian soldiers killed since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, based on publicly available information. This figure is likely a significant undercount, as it only reflects verified data from sources such as obituaries and official reports. The casualties have increased substantially in recent months, with October marking the deadliest month for Russian forces. The deployment of North Korean troops to Russia may be linked to these losses, with President Zelensky confirming their presence and casualties in Kursk Oblast. The average age of volunteer recruits killed in action is increasing, with a plurality falling between 48 and 50 years old. The bloodiest day for Russian forces was May 13th, with an estimated 1,740 casualties.
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On November 10th, Russia reported that its air defenses successfully shot down 70 Ukrainian drones, including 34 in Moscow Oblast, during the largest drone attack on the Russian capital to date. The attack, which began around 7:00 a.m. Moscow time, involved drones entering Russian airspace from multiple locations, including Bryansk, Oryol, Kaluga, Kursk, and Tula oblasts. While unverified footage of drones and resulting damage surfaced on social media, Russia reported at least one person injured in Moscow Oblast, with airport operations temporarily halted due to the threat. Notably, this attack coincided with Russia’s largest drone attack on Ukraine overnight, involving 145 drones, highlighting the escalating use of unmanned aerial vehicles in the ongoing conflict.
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Russia has amassed approximately 50,000 troops, including North Korean soldiers, in the Kursk region, preparing for a potential offensive. While a major offensive has yet to begin, US and Ukrainian officials believe an attack involving North Korean troops is imminent. The North Korean forces, divided into assault and support units, have received training from Russia in artillery fire, infantry tactics, and trench clearing. Although the Ukrainian defense is expected to hold, both Russian and North Korean forces are likely to suffer significant casualties, mirroring the losses experienced in eastern Ukraine.
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Russia has suffered its most severe monthly casualties since the start of the war in Ukraine, with an estimated 1,500 soldiers killed or injured daily in October, resulting in a total of 700,000 casualties. This heavy price, paid for “tiny increments of land,” is a direct consequence of President Putin’s ambitions, according to UK Chief of Defence Staff Admiral Sir Tony Radakin. The war has drained Russia’s resources, with over 40% of public expenditure dedicated to defence and security, and has caused immense suffering for the Russian people. Despite Russia’s recent tactical gains, Western allies remain steadfast in their support of Ukraine, reiterating their commitment to provide assistance “for as long as it takes.”
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North Korean troops have joined the fighting in Ukraine, with President Zelensky confirming their deployment in the Kursk region and their involvement in combat against Ukrainian forces. This deployment follows reports of a limited engagement between Russian and Ukrainian forces with North Korean troops resulting in casualties, as confirmed by both US and Ukrainian officials. Zelensky expressed concern about the potential for increased North Korean involvement in the war, urging for more pressure to be exerted on Russia to deter further escalation. The use of North Korean troops signifies a deepening military partnership between Moscow and Pyongyang, raising concerns about the potential consequences for the war and regional stability.
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As Russia ramps up its drone attacks, Kyiv is facing a new wave of aerial threats. While previously these attacks were more sporadic, drones are now reaching the city center with increasing frequency, bypassing multiple layers of air defense. This is due to the sheer number of drones being launched, and their ability to fly at low altitudes. Although Ukraine is working on improving situational awareness and air defense systems, the country urgently needs more sophisticated air defense equipment from its Western allies to counter the increasing threat posed by Russia’s drone production capabilities. This new phase of the war demonstrates a shift in tactics by Russia, utilizing cheaper, but more numerous, drones to drain Ukrainian air defenses and pave the way for more destructive attacks.
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Following President-elect Trump’s victory, Russia expressed confidence in its impending victory in Ukraine. Putin, in congratulating Trump, suggested a shift in global power dynamics favoring Russia and praised Trump’s stance on improving relations with Russia and resolving the Ukrainian conflict. Russian officials, including Alexander Dugin and Konstantin Malofeyev, openly declared victory, hinting at a potential post-war world order. While some, like Kirill Dmitriev, viewed Trump’s win as a chance to mend U.S.-Russia ties, the Russian Foreign Ministry cautioned against harboring illusions about Trump, stressing that Moscow would defend its national interests and pursue its objectives in Ukraine.
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Russian General Pavel Klimenko, commander of the 5th Donetsk Motorized Rifle Brigade, died in a drone strike in Ukraine on November 7th. Known for his alleged brutality, Klimenko was accused of establishing torture camps for his own soldiers in occupied Donetsk, forcing them to hand over their salaries for front-line reassignment and using torture to coerce injured soldiers into combat. This incident marks the eighth confirmed death of a Russian general in the war against Ukraine, highlighting the ongoing toll the conflict takes on military leadership.
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A Russian military court has sentenced two soldiers to life in prison for the murder of a family of nine in occupied Donetsk Oblast. The soldiers, Anton Sopov and Stanislav Rau, were found guilty of entering a home in Volnovakha and shooting the Kapkanets family, including two children, while they slept. The court’s decision, while rare, represents a significant step towards accountability for war crimes perpetrated by Russian forces in Ukraine. This case underscores the brutality of the conflict and the need for justice for victims of these atrocities.
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The Ukrainian 46th Air Mobile Brigade successfully repelled a Russian assault near Kurakhove, halting a column of armored vehicles with mines, artillery, drones, and anti-tank missiles. While this victory is a positive sign for Ukraine, the Russian military continues to advance, albeit at a heavy cost in casualties. The focus on the Kurakhove-Pokrovsk axis suggests a shift in Russian strategy, potentially aimed at capturing Pokrovsk before the inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump, whose potential policies could benefit Russia. However, this concentrated effort may leave other fronts vulnerable.
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John Q. Hosedrinker