The United States will provide Ukraine with anti-personnel landmines, despite their controversial nature and international ban under the Ottawa Treaty. These “non-persistent” mines are designed to become inert after a set time, mitigating some risks, though concerns remain regarding civilian harm during their active period. While the US and Russia are not signatories to the treaty, Ukraine’s potential withdrawal is also being considered due to military necessity. The provision of these mines marks a significant escalation in military aid to Ukraine.
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To bolster its defense capabilities, Ukraine announced plans to significantly increase domestic production of long-range drones and missiles, aiming for at least 30,000 drones and 3,000 cruise missiles/hybrids next year. This initiative, supported by recent U.S. aid, is intended to offset artillery shortages and counter Russian drone attacks. Development includes the domestically produced Palianytsia missile-drone, already deployed against Russia, and a new technology center will support this effort. This surge in domestic production comes as Ukraine seeks to expand its long-range capabilities while Western arms supplies remain subject to restrictions.
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Russia’s updated nuclear doctrine, approved by President Putin, significantly broadens the conditions for nuclear weapon use, including scenarios involving aggression against Russia or its allies with nuclear state support, or large-scale non-nuclear attacks. This action, according to German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock, is an attempt to intimidate the West, a tactic previously employed by the Kremlin. Despite this, Europe remains united in its response, rejecting Russia’s attempts at coercion. Baerbock stressed Germany’s commitment to supporting Ukraine and its neighbors, and to not being intimidated by these threats.
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Marking the war’s 1,000th day, Ukrainian President Zelensky addressed the European Parliament, urging allies to increase pressure on Russia for a “just peace,” emphasizing that Putin will not stop without external pressure. Zelensky’s speech followed reports of a possible first use of US-supplied ATACMS missiles within Russia, and coincided with escalating tensions including the reported deployment of North Korean troops and Russia’s updated nuclear doctrine. The conflict continues to inflict devastating casualties, with recent drone attacks in Sumy resulting in civilian deaths. Zelensky warned that delaying action allows Russia to strengthen its position.
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Following recent Russian attacks on Ukraine, EU High Representative Josep Borrell asserts that Vladimir Putin shows no willingness to negotiate peace, instead opting for escalation to achieve his long-standing goals of conquering and subjugating Ukraine. Borrell highlights that Putin’s initial expectation of a swift victory has been disproven by the ongoing conflict, now spanning over 4,000 days since the initial 2014 aggression. He criticizes the EU’s initially insufficient response and warns against further inaction, emphasizing that a lack of response only encourages further Russian escalation. Despite this, the EU has fulfilled its pledge of delivering one million artillery shells to Ukraine.
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Marking the 1,000th day of the war, Boris Johnson advocated for a substantial US$500 billion loan to Ukraine, enabling them to secure victory. He also urged the immediate announcement of a NATO membership date for Ukraine, coupled with the UK and France mirroring the US’s approval of ATACMS missile use. These actions, Johnson argued, would provide crucial security guarantees and demonstrate unwavering Western support. He believes this decisive action will ultimately convince Putin of his miscalculation and the futility of his aggression. Johnson’s proposals build upon existing calls for increased aid and acknowledge past criticisms of insufficient European support.
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Following reports that the U.S. authorized Ukraine to strike deep into Russia with U.S.-supplied missiles, Russian lawmaker Andrei Gurulev issued a stark warning of imminent American destruction. Gurulev, speaking on state-owned media, threatened total annihilation of the U.S. and claimed Russia possesses the capacity to neutralize the nuclear arsenals of England and France. These threats followed a recent large-scale Russian missile attack on Kyiv and amid concerns over potential changes in U.S. support for Ukraine under the incoming Trump administration. The situation is further complicated by Russia’s reported troop buildup and heavy losses near the Kursk region.
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Biden allowing Ukraine to use US arms to strike inside Russia marks a significant escalation in the conflict. This decision, likely spurred by a recent massive Russian air attack targeting Ukrainian civilian infrastructure, represents a major shift in the US’s approach to supporting Ukraine.
This authorization fundamentally alters the battlefield dynamics. For months, Ukraine has been largely restricted from directly retaliating against Russian territory, despite enduring relentless attacks. Now, with the green light from the US, Ukraine possesses the means to strike deep within Russia, potentially targeting military installations and infrastructure crucial to the war effort.
The timing of Biden’s decision is intriguing.… Continue reading
Following a massive Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk criticized Chancellor Scholz’s call with Putin, asserting that phone diplomacy cannot replace substantive Western support for Ukraine. Scholz defended the call, stating he urged Putin to end the war and withdraw troops, but acknowledged Putin’s unwillingness to compromise. The Kremlin, however, indicated that any future agreements would reflect current territorial realities. Concerns remain about potential future negotiations between the US and Russia, particularly given the upcoming change in US presidential administration.
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With US President Biden’s approval, France and Britain have authorized Ukraine to use their SCALP and Storm Shadow missiles for long-range strikes on Russian territory. This decision follows months of Ukrainian requests and ends previous Western hesitancy. The authorization allows Ukraine to employ these weapons alongside US-provided ATACMS missiles. This development potentially marks a significant escalation in the conflict. Ukrainian strikes using these long-range weapons are expected imminently.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood