Donald Trump’s team is exploring various options to end the war in Ukraine, including delaying Kyiv’s NATO membership for at least 20 years in exchange for continued arms supplies. The plan, proposed by advisors General Keith Kellogg and Fred Fleitz, would involve a ceasefire along the current front lines, creating a demilitarized zone in the east, and securing European troop deployments to police the zone. While Trump has expressed interest in the plan, his ultimate decision remains uncertain, as he is known for making policy decisions on the fly. This proposal, however, has been met with skepticism from both Ukraine and Russia, who view it as unrealistic and potentially detrimental to their respective interests.
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Sinosure, a Chinese state-owned export insurance company, has reportedly stopped cooperating with Russian entrepreneurs, citing internal policies and concerns over the nature of exported goods. This decision comes amidst a surge in trade between Russia and China, with Beijing acting as Moscow’s economic lifeline. Sinosure’s actions appear to mirror those of Chinese banks, refusing to insure exports of goods that align with a blacklist maintained by the Bank of China. This move follows China’s tightening of export controls on military and dual-use products, reflecting Beijing’s careful balancing act of maintaining economic ties with Russia while avoiding direct involvement in the conflict.
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Ukraine’s long-range drones and missiles pose a significant threat to a substantial portion of Russia’s nuclear arsenal, potentially putting about one-third of its warheads in a vulnerable position. Approximately 30% of Russia’s estimated 5,580 nuclear warheads are stored within reach of Ukrainian weapons, including at least 14 facilities within range of Ukrainian drones, some as close as 160 kilometers from the border. The vulnerability of these storage sites, particularly during transportation for maintenance, highlights a “dire risk” posed by Russia’s inadequate security measures. This situation is compounded by Russia’s reluctance to relocate its nuclear arsenal further from the border, potentially driven by a desire to avoid appearing weak or a lack of understanding regarding the risks involved.
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The EU’s new defense commissioner, Andrius Kubilius, emphasizes the need for increased defense spending within the bloc, citing the ongoing threat from Russia rather than pressure from the US. This call for rearmament comes in light of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the anticipated return of Donald Trump to power in the US, whose past pronouncements on European defense spending have caused concern. Kubilius highlights the urgency of this need, emphasizing the need for the EU to be prepared for potential military aggression from Russia. While acknowledging the desire for peace, Kubilius argues that strengthening EU defenses is essential to deter any hostile actions and ensure stability.
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With Donald Trump’s reelection, Ukraine faces a potential reduction in US support, which could significantly impact the ongoing war with Russia. Trump has expressed skepticism about continued US commitment to Ukraine and has even suggested pressuring the country into a truce with Russia. This comes at a crucial moment for Ukraine, as Russian forces continue to gain ground in the eastern Donbas region. While the Biden administration has pledged substantial aid to Ukraine, Trump’s stance could dramatically alter the course of the conflict. Despite Zelensky’s efforts to secure continued US support, the potential shift in US policy could significantly hinder Ukraine’s efforts to achieve a decisive victory.
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In his November 6th address, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky appealed to President-elect Donald Trump, urging him to maintain strong relations with Ukraine despite past tensions. Zelensky highlighted the potential for greater cooperation in defense, economy, and post-war reconstruction, stressing the benefits for both nations and the free world. He invoked the legacy of Ronald Reagan, emphasizing the importance of “peace through strength” and linking Trump’s potential presidency to Reagan’s strong foreign policy stance. Zelensky referenced their previous meeting in September where he presented Trump with Ukraine’s victory plan and invited him to visit the country, an invitation Trump accepted. Despite Trump’s previous criticism of Zelensky and his handling of the war, Zelensky expressed hope for a strengthened partnership in the future.
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Ukrainian military intelligence launched a drone attack against a Russian naval base in Kaspiysk, Dagestan, targeting vessels involved in strikes against Ukraine. At least two Russian warships were damaged in the attack, which occurred approximately 1,000 kilometers from the frontlines. While Russian authorities reported intercepting a single drone, social media footage suggests a second drone hit its target, resulting in a large explosion. The incident led to the temporary suspension of operations at a nearby airport, highlighting the growing threat posed by Ukrainian drone strikes deep within Russian territory.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed hope that a potential victory for former US President Donald Trump in the 2024 election could bring a “just peace” to Ukraine. While the sentiment might seem surprising, given Trump’s history of cozying up to Russian President Vladimir Putin, Zelensky’s comments are likely a desperate plea for any potential help from the US, even if it comes from a source with a questionable past.
It’s understandable why Zelensky might be clinging to this hope. The ongoing war in Ukraine has already taken a devastating toll on the country and its people. The war has displaced millions, devastated the economy, and left countless casualties.… Continue reading
Dmitry Medvedev, a close ally of Vladimir Putin, has expressed optimism about Donald Trump’s presidential victory, suggesting that it could benefit Russia’s war effort in Ukraine. Medvedev, who has been a vocal critic of the West and has threatened Kyiv’s allies with Moscow’s nuclear capabilities, believes Trump’s aversion to spending on international aid could limit support for Ukraine. However, Medvedev acknowledges potential difficulties, noting that Trump’s past actions and the political system could constrain his ability to fully support Russia’s interests. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has congratulated Trump on his victory, emphasizing their shared commitment to a “peace through strength” approach and their previous discussions regarding ending the war.
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The recent reports that Russia is suspected of plotting to send incendiary devices on U.S.-bound planes are as chilling as they are infuriating. It’s a grim reminder that we live in a world where state-sponsored terrorism is not just a historical footnote but a present-day threat. The audacity of this move, allegedly orchestrated by the GRU, is as unsettling as it is predictable. When I hear that these incendiary devices, designed to evade detection and cause catastrophic damage, were possibly test runs for more extensive acts of sabotage against civilian airliners, my mind races with the implications.
What kind of strategic thinking leads to a decision like this?… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood