Amidst escalating conflict in Ukraine and potential US withdrawal of support under a Trump presidency, discussions regarding deploying Western troops and private military companies to Ukraine have resurfaced. France and the UK are leading these sensitive, largely classified talks, with France initiating the troop deployment debate earlier this year. While facing opposition from some European nations, recent discussions between Prime Ministers Starmer and Macron have revitalized the proposal. This includes exploring increased defense cooperation, potentially utilizing private defense contractors like France’s DCI and its British counterpart, Babcock, for training and equipment maintenance in Ukraine.
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Recent reports highlight significant shifts in the Ukraine conflict. Ukraine has lost substantial ground in Kursk Oblast, relinquishing over 40% of recently gained territory due to intensified Russian counterattacks. Simultaneously, Russia has unleashed a barrage of weaponry, including over 800 KAB bombs, hundreds of drones, and numerous missiles this week, according to Ukrainian President Zelensky. France advocates against setting red lines on military aid to Ukraine, emphasizing the escalating threat to European security. Furthermore, evidence suggests Russia is employing hundreds of Yemeni mercenaries, highlighting its continued reliance on foreign fighters.
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Russia’s intensified ballistic missile attacks on Ukraine utilize a significant number of North Korean KN-23 missiles, approximately one-third of the total launched in 2024. Analysis of missile wreckage reveals these weapons heavily rely on Western-made circuitry from at least nine manufacturers across the US, Europe, and elsewhere, despite existing sanctions. This highlights the crucial role of intermediary companies, primarily in China, facilitating the flow of sanctioned goods to North Korea. Ukrainian officials emphasize the need for stronger enforcement of sanctions by Western nations to curb this illicit trade and hold responsible parties accountable.
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Over the past week, Russia launched nearly 500 Shahed drones and over 20 missiles into Ukraine, prompting President Zelenskyy to denounce the country’s use as a weapons testing ground. These attacks, including a record number of Shahed drones in October and a recent deployment of the Oreshnik missile, are causing widespread damage and straining Ukraine’s air defenses. Ukraine is actively seeking additional air defense systems and developing countermeasures, including low-cost FPV drones, to combat the ongoing aerial assault. The situation is further complicated by Russia’s continuous modification of its drones and exploration of AI-enabled drone swarms.
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In response to escalating Russian aggression, the National Counterintelligence and Security Center, FBI, and Department of Defense agencies issued a joint warning to U.S. defense companies. The bulletin urged heightened security measures following confirmed Russian sabotage targeting European defense firms, infrastructure, and logistics, including arson and incendiary device smuggling plots. These acts, often perpetrated via local criminal proxies, aim to disrupt support for Ukraine and sow discord among allies. The warning highlighted the increased risk to U.S. companies both domestically and internationally, citing potential for injury, death, and significant infrastructural damage. Russia denies these accusations.
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The United States has announced a $275 million military aid package for Ukraine, utilizing the Presidential Drawdown Authority to expedite delivery of crucial weaponry and equipment from Department of Defense stockpiles. This aid includes HIMARS ammunition, various artillery and mortar rounds, drones, anti-tank weapons, and essential support equipment. The package directly addresses Ukraine’s immediate battlefield needs, bolstering ongoing counteroffensives and defensive operations against Russia. This contribution underscores the continued U.S. commitment to supporting Ukraine’s defense and sovereignty.
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A Ukrainian strike using UK-supplied Storm Shadow missiles on November 20th reportedly killed approximately 500 North Korean troops and a Russian general, Lt-Gen Valery Solodchuk, at a Russian command post and military facility. The attack also allegedly resulted in the deaths of 18 other Russian officers and wounded 18 more. These casualties remain unconfirmed by Russian authorities, who have responded with threats of retaliatory strikes against the UK and US, including the potential use of new long-range ballistic missiles. The involvement of North Korean troops highlights the expanding scope of the conflict.
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Biden’s shift on missile policy for Ukraine is a complex issue, seemingly driven by a confluence of factors rather than a single, easily defined cause. The headline suggesting a direct causal link between North Korean troops in Kursk, a Trump election victory, and the policy shift feels overly simplistic, bordering on misleading.
The presence of foreign troops, even those from North Korea operating within Russia’s borders, necessitates a strategic response. If Russia utilizes foreign soldiers within its military actions in Ukraine, it logically opens the door for Ukraine to seek similar support, potentially including advanced weaponry. This scenario suggests that the shift towards providing more advanced missiles might not be solely dependent on the outcome of the US elections.… Continue reading
Following a Russian attack on Dnipro using a new hypersonic missile, NATO and Ukraine will hold emergency talks. Russian President Vladimir Putin, who claimed the strike was retaliation for Ukrainian attacks using Western-supplied missiles, stated the Oreshnik missile is currently unparalleled and will continue to be tested, including in combat. The attack, which prompted Kyiv to cancel a parliament session due to security concerns, is viewed by many as a significant escalation of the conflict, potentially entering a decisive phase. Western officials condemned the action, highlighting the missile’s capabilities and expressing concern over Russia’s escalating rhetoric.
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Following a Thursday test launch targeting Dnipro, President Putin announced further testing of the hypersonic Oreshnik missile under combat conditions, citing escalating security threats. He ordered the missile, capable of Mach 10 speeds, into serial production, emphasizing its significance for Russia’s security and claiming global technological superiority in this area. This deployment was framed as a direct response to Ukrainian attacks on Russian territory using Western-supplied weaponry. Putin asserted Russia’s right to retaliate against military facilities in supplying nations.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood