France and the U.K. plan to send a peacekeeping force to Ukraine, contingent upon a peace agreement with Russia. However, Russia’s continued aggression and refusal of a full ceasefire, coupled with shifting U.S. involvement, hinder progress. European leaders express concern that Russia is using negotiations to stall, potentially gaining concessions while continuing its attacks. The success of any peacekeeping force hinges on a unified European approach and a resolute stance from the U.S. against Russian demands.
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In response to recent territorial losses in Kursk, Ukrainian forces launched a multi-pronged offensive into Russia’s Belgorod region, employing drones, artillery, and ground troops. The attacks, targeting over 20 villages, appear aimed at either relieving pressure on Ukrainian forces in Kursk or potentially drawing Russian resources away from other fronts. While the extent of Ukrainian success remains unclear, Russia simultaneously reports gains in eastern and southern Ukraine, escalating the conflict despite ongoing, largely unsuccessful ceasefire negotiations. Zelensky has urged stronger international support, emphasizing the urgent need for a decisive response to Russia’s aggression.
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Russia claims Ukraine has “virtually destroyed” a gas infrastructure unit in Sudzha, a town located in Russia’s Kursk region. This accusation follows a purported moratorium on attacks targeting energy facilities, a truce brokered by the United States. The Kremlin’s statement paints a picture of Ukrainian aggression, highlighting the destruction of the gas infrastructure unit and reserving the right to retaliate. This naturally raises questions about the veracity of the claim, especially given the history of conflicting narratives surrounding this conflict.
The timing of this alleged attack is significant, occurring amidst a tenuous ceasefire agreement. Both sides have previously accused each other of violating the terms, casting doubt on the commitment to peace from either side.… Continue reading
CIA Director John Ratcliffe affirmed Ukraine’s unwavering commitment to fight for acceptable peace terms, even resorting to unconventional methods if necessary. This resolute stance underscores the ongoing efforts by President Trump to mediate a lasting peace between Russia and Ukraine, despite Russia’s rejection of a broader ceasefire proposal. A partial ceasefire, focusing on energy infrastructure and the Black Sea, was agreed upon, though its implementation remains contingent upon the lifting of Western sanctions, according to Russia. This agreement, brokered by the U.S., represents a step towards de-escalation amidst ongoing conflict.
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A partial ceasefire on energy infrastructure between Russia and Ukraine commenced on March 25th, following negotiations involving the US. Despite this agreement, both sides traded accusations of ceasefire violations, with Russia launching a diplomatic campaign to discredit Ukraine and President Zelenskyy. Russia claimed Ukraine attacked energy facilities in Russia, while Ukraine denied these accusations and countered with accusations of Russian provocations. This partial ceasefire, brokered after the US abandoned an earlier, more comprehensive proposal, has been marked by conflicting statements and ongoing hostilities in other areas of the conflict.
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Russia’s Kremlin spokesperson, Dmitry Peskov, announced that the informal moratorium on strikes against energy infrastructure is no longer binding due to alleged Ukrainian violations. Peskov cited Ukrainian military actions targeting Russian energy facilities as evidence of this breach, claiming a loss of control by Kyiv’s leadership. This announcement followed Russia’s own large-scale drone attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure and accusations of Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure. The conflicting claims highlight the ongoing tension and escalation of the conflict.
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A summit in Paris, attended by leaders including Emmanuel Macron, Keir Starmer, and Volodymyr Zelensky, coordinated military aid for Ukraine and discussed a “reassurance force” to deter Russia. This initiative, co-led by France and the U.K., involves deploying troops to Ukraine, potentially near the Dnipro River, though alternative locations are considered. The deployment will proceed with or without U.S. participation, aiming to prevent Russia from prolonging the conflict. Leaders agreed that sanctions on Russia should remain in place.
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According to Ukrainian intelligence, internal Kremlin forecasts predict that continued warfare in Ukraine until 2026 would severely hinder Russia’s global competitiveness, potentially relegating it to a regional power. These forecasts, which reportedly include scenarios extending to 2045, suggest a need for conflict resolution by 2026 to maintain parity with the US and China. The Ukrainian assessment aligns with similar recent statements from other Ukrainian officials. The Kremlin has not commented on these reports.
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Sweden announced its largest military rearmament plan since the Cold War, involving a €27 billion investment to reach 3.5% of GDP in defense spending by 2030. This includes €2.31 billion for new defense materiel (2026-2028), a €8.86 million investment to combat hybrid threats, and an increased €3.69 billion military aid package for Ukraine. A key component focuses on bolstering northern defenses with two new mechanized brigades for subarctic warfare, operational by 2028. The plan is partially funded through loans and was agreed upon with the Sweden Democrats.
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Matt Underwood