Lieutenant General Mike Elviss warns that a Ukrainian ceasefire would enable Russia to rebuild its forces and strengthen ties with a new axis of aggressors, including China, Iran, and North Korea. This would initiate a global arms race focused on armored forces, as Russia seeks to reconstitute its military capabilities for future conflicts. Concerns exist that Russia’s adaptable military could emerge stronger from such a conflict. Senior UK officials fear a renewed Russian aggression, particularly if a peace deal is brokered, highlighting the need for sustained Western security commitments. This mirrors Ukrainian President Zelenskyy’s warnings of a more dangerous future conflict without robust security guarantees.
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Addressing the World Economic Forum in Davos, President Zelenskyy emphasized the need for a substantial, at least 200,000-strong, multinational peacekeeping force to secure any Ukraine-Russia peace agreement. He underscored the urgency of European self-reliance in defense, citing Russia’s mobilization of hundreds of thousands of troops and the involvement of North Korean soldiers in the conflict. Zelenskyy also stressed that NATO membership is the best guarantee for a lasting ceasefire, despite opposition from some Western nations. He further highlighted Russia’s escalating military production and warned of future Russian aggression unless effectively countered.
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The Indian Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) reported twelve Indian nationals serving in the Russian Armed Forces have died, with sixteen more missing. Of 126 known cases of Indian nationals in the Russian military, 96 have been discharged and returned to India. The MEA is actively engaging with Russian authorities to locate the missing and repatriate the deceased’s remains. One death resulted from a reported drone attack, highlighting the dangers faced by these individuals, often recruited through deceptive means. India continues to balance its energy needs with the geopolitical implications of its oil purchases from Russia.
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Following his inauguration, President Trump urged Russian President Putin to negotiate a peace deal in Ukraine, warning of dire consequences for Russia if the conflict persists. Trump expressed confidence in his ability to broker a resolution, referencing past interactions with Putin and recent conversations with President Zelenskyy. Putin, in turn, signaled his openness to dialogue with the new US administration, emphasizing the need for a lasting peace while reiterating Russia’s commitment to its national interests. Trump’s past statements about mediating the conflict were acknowledged by Putin as a welcome effort to prevent global escalation.
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Russian ammunition use has ‘practically halved’ due to Kyiv strikes, Ukrainian commander-in-chief says. This is a significant claim, suggesting a dramatic shift in the dynamics of the conflict. It raises immediate questions about the feasibility and implications of such a reduction in Russian firepower. What precisely accounts for this alleged drop? Is it due to a decline in Russian production capacity, a strategic shift in tactics, or perhaps a combination of both?
Russian ammunition use has ‘practically halved’ due to Kyiv strikes, Ukrainian commander-in-chief says, and the assertion prompts further consideration of the methodology behind this assessment. How exactly is the daily ammunition expenditure being calculated?… Continue reading
Weapons and notes found on deceased North Korean soldiers fighting in Ukraine offer a fascinating, albeit grim, window into their mindset and their surprisingly rapid adaptation to modern warfare. The battlefield scraps – weapons, personal writings, even seemingly simple tactical notes – paint a picture of a fighting force learning at an astonishing pace, though often through devastating trial and error.
The sheer fact that these soldiers are leaving behind notes detailing basic infantry tactics, such as the importance of dispersing under artillery fire, reveals a level of tactical awareness not previously attributed to the North Korean military. It indicates a concerted effort to improve their performance, though their lessons are seemingly drawn from outdated doctrines.… Continue reading
In 2024 alone, Russia suffered over 150,000 military personnel killed, significantly exceeding losses from 2022 and 2023. Total Russian losses for 2024 surpassed 434,000, according to Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi. This represents a dramatic increase in casualties compared to previous years of the conflict. Syrskyi emphasized that Russian losses vastly outnumber those of Ukraine.
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A newly announced 100-year UK-Ukraine partnership agreement, including military cooperation in the Azov Sea, has drawn sharp criticism from Russia. Moscow views the Azov Sea as its internal water and considers the agreement a publicity stunt, vowing firm resistance to any joint UK-Ukraine activity there. The Kremlin specifically expressed concern over potential British military deployment in the region. This rejection underscores persistent tensions over the strategically vital Azov Sea and foreshadows potential obstacles to the strengthened UK-Ukraine cooperation.
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Amidst discussions of a potential Ukraine ceasefire, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius stated Germany’s openness to contributing troops to a subsequent European peacekeeping mission. This follows similar considerations by the U.K. and France, who are also exploring troop deployments. While Germany’s role would be significant given its NATO standing, the deployment is contingent upon future discussions and has elicited varied opinions among German politicians, including conditions such as Russian consent. Ukraine’s acceptance hinges on a clear NATO membership timeline.
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In December 2024 alone, Russian forces deployed chemical weapons in 434 separate battlefield incidents, according to a January 18th report from Ukraine’s General Staff. This brings the total recorded instances since February 2023 to 5,389, including the use of prohibited munitions like K-51 and RG-VO. These actions constitute a systemic violation of warfare rules, resulting in over 2,000 Ukrainian soldier hospitalizations and three deaths from chemical poisoning. Ukraine responded to these attacks by assassinating the head of Russia’s chemical defense troops, Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood