A leaked FSB document exposes a clandestine intelligence war between Russia and China, revealing deep distrust and accusations of Chinese espionage targeting Russian military operations in Ukraine and the Arctic. The document details Chinese efforts to recruit Russian scientists and intelligence officers, particularly those with access to sensitive information, and highlights concerns over potential Chinese territorial ambitions. In response, the FSB launched “Entente-4,” a counterintelligence program aimed at mitigating the threat, including increased surveillance of Russian-Chinese collaborations. This hidden conflict stands in stark contrast to the publicly proclaimed “no limits” partnership between the two nations.
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Despite President Putin’s public pronouncements of an unshakeable friendship with China, an internal FSB document reveals significant concerns about Chinese espionage targeting Russia’s military secrets, scientific expertise, and even territorial claims. This document details a clandestine intelligence battle, with China actively recruiting Russian scientists, military personnel, and officials, and seeking to exploit Russia’s vulnerability due to the war in Ukraine. The FSB’s counterintelligence efforts focus on mitigating these threats while carefully avoiding public confrontation to maintain the facade of a strong bilateral relationship. The document highlights the delicate balancing act Russia faces, navigating its dependence on China while simultaneously countering its increasingly assertive intelligence operations.
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A leaked Russian intelligence document reveals a profound distrust of China, far exceeding the typical geopolitical skepticism between nations. This suspicion isn’t simply a matter of competing interests; it runs deeper, rooted in a long and complex history of rivalry and conflicting ambitions. The document’s implications suggest a chilling assessment of China’s actions in the ongoing Ukraine conflict.
The document highlights Russia’s perception of China’s strategic manipulation of the Ukraine war. Moscow likely sees Beijing’s limited support for Russia as a calculated move, designed to prolong the conflict and weaken Russia economically and militarily. This calculated support, just enough to prevent a complete collapse but insufficient to secure victory, effectively allows China to observe Western military capabilities firsthand and wear down Russia’s considerable military arsenal, simultaneously depleting its manpower reserves.… Continue reading
During a meeting with Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin expressed Russia’s eagerness to host Chinese production facilities, citing Russia’s increased reliance on Chinese car imports. Putin pledged to create favorable conditions for Chinese businesses, characterizing Russo-Chinese relations as exemplary. However, despite increased trade, significant Chinese investment in Russia’s real sector remains limited, with overall foreign direct investment in Russia plummeting since the Ukraine invasion. This decline contrasts sharply with Putin’s assertions of a strong economic partnership and highlights ongoing challenges for the Russian economy.
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Russian military recruitment advertisements, offering significant financial incentives and veteran status, are circulating widely on Chinese social media platforms like Douyin. These ads, in both Russian and Mandarin, suggest a potential Russian effort to supplement its troops with foreign mercenaries, a strategy seemingly driven by financial incentives rather than explicit Chinese government backing. While Ukrainian President Zelenskyy claims hundreds of Chinese nationals are fighting for Russia, experts suggest this recruitment is likely a Russian initiative, leveraging the existing strong Russia-China relationship and the appeal of financial gain. Despite these claims, there is currently no evidence directly linking the Chinese government to these recruitment efforts.
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Ukrainian forces captured two Chinese citizens fighting alongside Russian troops in eastern Ukraine, prompting President Zelenskyy to demand an explanation from Beijing. Zelenskyy alleges the presence of numerous additional Chinese citizens within Russian units and views China’s involvement, whether direct or indirect, as an indication of Russia’s intent to prolong the war. Military analyst Michael Clarke notes that the implications for China depend on whether the captured soldiers were acting as mercenaries or under official orders, with the latter representing a serious legal and political breach. Zelenskyy also confirmed Ukrainian operations within Russia’s Belgorod region, stating that the war should be fought on Russian soil.
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China’s military expansion, including its growing nuclear arsenal exceeding 600 warheads and projected to surpass 1,000 by 2030, coupled with increased pressure on Taiwan and strengthened ties with Russia, presents a significant challenge to the U.S. However, widespread corruption within the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) may be hindering China’s modernization efforts. Despite setbacks, China continues to advance its military capabilities, particularly in unmanned aerial systems, while engaging in unsafe operations near U.S. and allied forces. The U.S. is responding by increasing its military presence in the Asia-Pacific region and maintaining diplomatic engagement with China.
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Russia recently imposed a 55.65 percent tariff on Chinese furniture parts imported through Vladivostok, impacting approximately 90 percent of such imports. This reclassification, causing a significant price increase for Russian furniture, has prompted concerns about bankruptcies among importers and angered Russian furniture producers reliant on these Chinese parts. The move is particularly perplexing given the strong Russia-China trade relationship and the fact that similar European imports face significantly lower tariffs. The tariff increase has sparked criticism in China, highlighting the unexpected economic friction despite increased bilateral trade.
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Following Russia’s nuclear threat and Ukraine’s first long-range missile strike on Russian territory using US-supplied weapons, China urged all parties to remain calm and exercise restraint. Beijing called for dialogue and consultation to de-escalate tensions and reduce strategic risks, reiterating its commitment to a political resolution of the Ukraine crisis. While presenting a neutral stance, China’s close ties with Russia have led to criticism from NATO members. Western leaders, including French President Macron, have appealed to China to leverage its influence with Russia to de-escalate the conflict.
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The Danish Navy apprehended the Chinese bulk carrier *Yi Peng 3* in Danish territorial waters, suspecting its involvement in damaging Baltic Sea telecommunication cables. The vessel, sailing from Ust-Luga, Russia, is believed to have passed over damaged cables linking Finland and Germany, and Sweden and Lithuania. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius described the incident as deliberate sabotage, not an accident. This follows a similar October 2023 incident involving a different Chinese vessel and an undersea gas pipeline.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood