German foreign policy expert Roderich Kiesewetter has warned that 2026 and 2027 will be crucial years for regional security, citing the significant presence of up to 360,000 Russian troops in Belarus as a key concern. Kiesewetter, who previously served in the German Armed Forces and at NATO headquarters, stated that Russia has assembled two army corps in Belarus, raising particular alarm in the Baltic states. He also noted that while the war in Ukraine has not been entirely successful, Putin is training hundreds of thousands of soldiers via a wartime economy, many of whom are not deployed in Ukraine.
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The European Union deemed Belarus’s presidential election illegitimate, citing widespread human rights abuses, restrictions on political participation and the media, and the Belarusian regime’s complicity in Russia’s war against Ukraine. Consequently, the EU announced further targeted sanctions against the Belarusian government, though specifics remain undisclosed. The EU’s criticism highlights the lack of free and fair processes, including the late invitation of OSCE observers, and the imprisonment of over 1,000 political prisoners. A meeting between EU officials and Belarusian opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya followed the announcement.
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From January 8th to 31st, Belarusian territorial defense forces, reservists, and military reserves will participate in military exercises in the Gomel district. These exercises, led by the Gomel district executive committee, will focus on personnel management and logistical support utilizing local mobilization resources. The training will involve collaboration with Belarusian Armed Forces engineering units, preparing conscripts for potential operational tasks. Notably, Gomel’s proximity to Ukraine’s Chernihiv Oblast highlights the strategic significance of these drills. This follows previous Belarusian military exercises near Poland and Lithuania, and participation in Russian nuclear weapons drills.
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Belarusian President Lukashenko announced the deployment of over a dozen Russian nuclear warheads to Belarus, a move seemingly confirming previous reports. This action follows a newly signed treaty between Russia and Belarus strengthening their defense alliance, granting both countries access to all available forces and means for mutual defense. While Russia maintains control over the weapons, the deployment raises concerns about nuclear safety and escalates regional tensions. The move has been condemned by Belarusian opposition figures as a further subjugation of Belarusian independence to Russian interests.
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John Q. Hosedrinker