To end the war in Ukraine, President Putin demands a written Western pledge to halt NATO’s eastward expansion, along with sanctions relief for Russia. He also seeks Ukrainian neutrality, resolution of frozen assets, and protection for Russian speakers in Ukraine. Failure to meet these terms, according to Russian sources, could lead to further military escalation and a more painful peace for Ukraine. However, Kyiv and NATO have consistently rejected these conditions.
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Western officials believe Vladimir Putin understands his demands regarding Ukraine are unrealistic and will not be met. This awareness doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll abandon his objectives, however.
The very nature of Putin’s initial demands demonstrates an intention to establish an impossibly high bar for negotiation. These maximalist positions, while seemingly unreasonable, serve a strategic purpose. They create an environment where any compromise, even one that falls far short of his ultimate goals, can be presented as a victory – avoiding the potential domestic fallout of a perceived defeat.
The high stakes involved make it unlikely Putin will back down. He’s invested heavily in the conflict, both militarily and politically, creating a situation where retreat would be catastrophic for his regime.… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood