Recent polls suggest that California Governor Gavin Newsom is a frontrunner in the 2028 presidential race, with one poll showing him leading Donald Trump and JD Vance. According to the poll, Newsom led Trump by four points and Vance by one point, potentially due to his strong recognition among Democrats and independent voters. While Newsom has not formally announced his candidacy, his actions have fueled speculation of a potential run. Republican National Committee spokesperson Kiersten Pels criticized Newsom’s “failed agenda” in California.
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Recent polls indicate a surge in support for California Governor Gavin Newsom among Democratic voters in the 2028 presidential primary. Morning Consult’s poll showed a significant increase in Newsom’s backing, with 19 percent of Democrats now supporting him. This growth comes as other potential candidates, such as Kamala Harris, experience a decrease in support. Newsom’s increased popularity is attributed to his high-profile engagements against Republicans, particularly former President Donald Trump.
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According to a recent Emerson College Polling survey, Pete Buttigieg has emerged as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, garnering 16% support among likely primary voters, surpassing Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom. This shift contrasts with a November poll that saw Harris with a substantial lead. Buttigieg’s appeal stems from his ability to connect with diverse audiences, demonstrated by his engagement in various media appearances and his responses to national issues. On the Republican side, JD Vance leads the early field with 46% support.
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A new Reuters/Ipsos poll indicates that a significant majority of Democrats desire new party leadership. This desire stems from a perceived disconnect between voters’ priorities—universal healthcare, affordable childcare, and higher taxes on the wealthy—and the perceived priorities of current leadership. Younger voters, in particular, express skepticism about the party’s commitment to populist policies. The poll challenges the narrative that Democratic voters find the party’s agenda too left-leaning, suggesting instead a lack of perceived action on key issues. Pollsters suggest that the party needs a significant shift to better represent the interests of working-class Americans.
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A recent AtlasIntel poll reveals Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s surprising popularity, ranking her third overall—surpassing President Trump, Biden, and Harris. Despite a polarizing image, her net positive rating of two points places her behind only the Obamas. This popularity is notable given her active and vocal role in Congress, particularly her recent “rally against oligarchy” tour with Senator Sanders. Ocasio-Cortez’s future political aspirations remain unstated, though speculation regarding a 2028 presidential run persists.
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A recent AtlasIntel poll reveals that Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez enjoys a more positive public image than President Trump, Vice President Harris, and even President Biden. Her 46 percent positive rating, exceeding her negative rating by two points, places her third overall, behind only the Obamas. This positive perception contrasts with her polarizing role in national politics, where she’s drawn criticism from both moderate Democrats and Republicans. The poll’s findings suggest a surprisingly high level of public approval for the progressive congresswoman.
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Multiple recent polls reveal a significant decline in President Trump’s approval rating, particularly among his traditionally strong rural voter base. His approval among rural voters has dropped considerably, from a high of 63 percent in 2024 to figures as low as 45 percent in recent surveys. This erosion of support, also observed across other demographic groups, poses a substantial threat to the Republican party’s future electoral success. The decline is attributed to various factors, including the public’s response to his handling of the economy and tariffs.
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President Trump’s approval rating currently sits at 41%, a new low surpassing even his own historically low 44% rating at the 100-day mark of his first term. This makes his approval rating the lowest of any president in recent decades across the board. His approval on key issues, such as the economy (39%), is similarly abysmal. CNN data chief Harry Enten describes the numbers as “horrible” and unprecedentedly low.
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Multiple polls reveal declining public approval of President Trump’s second term, with disapproval ratings exceeding 50% across various surveys. Key policy areas, including the economy, immigration, and trade, show significantly lower approval than in his first term. Even among Republicans, support for Trump’s priorities is not overwhelming, while independent voters express considerably less confidence. This widespread dissatisfaction is reflected in negative assessments of his handling of various issues, contributing to historically low approval ratings for a president this early in his term.
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Trump’s actions, including defying court orders and targeting universities, demonstrate a pattern of lawlessness deeply concerning to independent voters. This disregard for due process and the rule of law, exemplified by instances like the rendition of individuals to foreign prisons and the mistreatment of migrants, is a key factor driving independents away from him. Such arbitrary abuses of power undermine fundamental fairness and the principle of equal treatment under the law. The perception of these actions as totalitarian and sadistic further fuels this negative sentiment.
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John Q. Hosedrinker