Gallup polling data reveals President Trump held a 45 percent average approval rating during the first quarter of his second term, the second-lowest for any postwar president. This follows his first term’s 41 percent average at the same point. While a subsequent J.L. Partners poll showed a slightly higher 48 percent approval, Trump’s ratings remain significantly below the postwar presidential average of 59 percent. His economic policies, including significant tariffs, have generated mixed public response, despite some support from both Republican and left-leaning populist voters.
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Three months into his second term, President Trump’s approval rating stands at 44%, with 51% disapproving, largely due to negative economic assessments. His administration, heavily influenced by Elon Musk, faces widespread public distrust; Musk’s favorability rating is notably low, even below that of federal employees. Concerns about weakening democracy and the influence of oligarchy are also prevalent. Ultimately, Trump and Musk’s joint performance has failed to meet public expectations, potentially jeopardizing both their political standing.
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Recent polling data reveals widespread disapproval of Elon Musk and his influence within the Trump administration, with 60% of respondents expressing disapproval. This negative sentiment, coupled with a significant Republican electoral loss in which Musk heavily invested, has fueled a burgeoning anti-oligarchy movement. Bernie Sanders’s “Fighting Oligarchy” tour is drawing massive crowds, and even Republican constituents are expressing their opposition to Musk and the administration’s pro-billionaire policies. This widespread discontent is reportedly prompting Musk’s impending departure from the White House and highlights the broader issue of the Trump administration’s reliance on numerous billionaires in key positions.
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Multiple recent polls indicate President Trump’s approval rating is hovering around 48%, with disapproval slightly higher, resulting in a consistently negative net approval rating. This fluctuates between -1 and -8 points depending on the poll, with some outliers showing slightly positive ratings. Public dissatisfaction with his economic policies, particularly concerning tariffs and recession fears, appears to be a significant factor in these low numbers. Compared to his first term and to President Biden at a similar point in their presidencies, Trump’s current approval is relatively low.
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Recent polling data reveals strong Australian disapproval of Donald Trump, with 49 percent disapproving of his presidency and a significant portion expressing strong disapproval. This negative sentiment extends to prominent tech figures like Elon Musk, with 59 percent holding unfavorable views. Senator Jacqui Lambie’s outspoken criticism of Trump reflects this public opinion, urging Prime Minister Albanese to avoid appeasement during negotiations. Conversely, focus groups indicate that voters are prioritizing economic issues over the influence of American politics and personalities, highlighting a disconnect between national concerns and the current political discourse.
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J. Ann Selzer, head of Selzer & Co., is retiring from election polling after a 30-year career marked by high accuracy, as evidenced by an A+ rating from Nate Silver. Her final poll did not align with election results, a humbling experience in a field of estimation. Selzer’s work with various news organizations and clients will continue, focusing on projects beyond election forecasting. She emphasizes her commitment to truth and accuracy throughout her career and personal life.
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A poll by infratest-dimap on behalf of public broadcaster ARD has shown that 74% of German voters prefer US Democratic candidate Kamala Harris to Donald Trump, who polled 11% approval. Harris received 90% to 92% approval from supporters of the Social Democrats, the Christian Democratic Union and the Greens. Meanwhile, Trump received better approval amongst supporters of the far-right anti-immigrant Alternative for Germany party, with 41% approval. The polling results showed that a majority of Germans felt a Democratic victory would be better for relations and the economy. However, the respondents also expressed concerns about job security and Germany’s economic status.
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Tim Walz Gets Bigger Polling Boost Than JD Vance After VP Debate
The aftermath of the recent Vice Presidential debate has left many with varied opinions and insights to digest. One notable observation from the CNN instant poll of viewers who tuned in to the debate was the stark difference in the polling numbers for Tim Walz and JD Vance before and after the debate. Walz, previously at 46% favorable, 32% unfavorable, received a notable boost to 59% favorable and 22% unfavorable after the debate, resulting in a net approval rating of +37%. On the other hand, Vance, originally at 30% favorable, 52% unfavorable, experienced a shift to 41% favorable and 44% unfavorable after the debate, with a net approval rating of -3%.… Continue reading
As I sit down to write about the latest polling data showing Kamala Harris opening up the biggest lead over Trump in the 538 polling aggregate, I can’t help but feel a mix of excitement and apprehension. The fact that she has managed to surge ahead by 3.3 points is indeed a significant development, especially considering the volatility of the current political climate. It’s heartening to see that her campaign has gained momentum, but at the same time, I am cautious not to fall into the trap of complacency.
Reflecting on the previous election cycles, it is clear that polls, no matter how favorable they may seem, do not guarantee victory.… Continue reading
The current polling averages show Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in this year’s election, which is definitely a positive sign for those supporting her candidacy. With Harris holding the lead in three major national polling aggregators, it’s clear that momentum is building in her favor. The fact that she is ahead in the polls is encouraging, but it is essential to remember the importance of actually registering and turning out to vote on election day. Every vote counts, and it is crucial to ensure that the voice of the people is heard.
It’s interesting to see the different perspectives and reactions to these poll results.… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker