J. Ann Selzer, head of Selzer & Co., is retiring from election polling after a 30-year career marked by high accuracy, as evidenced by an A+ rating from Nate Silver. Her final poll did not align with election results, a humbling experience in a field of estimation. Selzer’s work with various news organizations and clients will continue, focusing on projects beyond election forecasting. She emphasizes her commitment to truth and accuracy throughout her career and personal life.
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A poll by infratest-dimap on behalf of public broadcaster ARD has shown that 74% of German voters prefer US Democratic candidate Kamala Harris to Donald Trump, who polled 11% approval. Harris received 90% to 92% approval from supporters of the Social Democrats, the Christian Democratic Union and the Greens. Meanwhile, Trump received better approval amongst supporters of the far-right anti-immigrant Alternative for Germany party, with 41% approval. The polling results showed that a majority of Germans felt a Democratic victory would be better for relations and the economy. However, the respondents also expressed concerns about job security and Germany’s economic status.
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Tim Walz Gets Bigger Polling Boost Than JD Vance After VP Debate
The aftermath of the recent Vice Presidential debate has left many with varied opinions and insights to digest. One notable observation from the CNN instant poll of viewers who tuned in to the debate was the stark difference in the polling numbers for Tim Walz and JD Vance before and after the debate. Walz, previously at 46% favorable, 32% unfavorable, received a notable boost to 59% favorable and 22% unfavorable after the debate, resulting in a net approval rating of +37%. On the other hand, Vance, originally at 30% favorable, 52% unfavorable, experienced a shift to 41% favorable and 44% unfavorable after the debate, with a net approval rating of -3%.… Continue reading
As I sit down to write about the latest polling data showing Kamala Harris opening up the biggest lead over Trump in the 538 polling aggregate, I can’t help but feel a mix of excitement and apprehension. The fact that she has managed to surge ahead by 3.3 points is indeed a significant development, especially considering the volatility of the current political climate. It’s heartening to see that her campaign has gained momentum, but at the same time, I am cautious not to fall into the trap of complacency.
Reflecting on the previous election cycles, it is clear that polls, no matter how favorable they may seem, do not guarantee victory.… Continue reading
The current polling averages show Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in this year’s election, which is definitely a positive sign for those supporting her candidacy. With Harris holding the lead in three major national polling aggregators, it’s clear that momentum is building in her favor. The fact that she is ahead in the polls is encouraging, but it is essential to remember the importance of actually registering and turning out to vote on election day. Every vote counts, and it is crucial to ensure that the voice of the people is heard.
It’s interesting to see the different perspectives and reactions to these poll results.… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker