According to Star Sports, California Governor Gavin Newsom’s odds of winning the 2028 presidential election have improved to 11/2, making him the second favorite behind J.D. Vance. Newsom is also favored to be the Democratic nominee, with odds at 5/2, ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg. This shift in odds follows Newsom’s increased visibility and his strategic moves, including a redistricting bill and social media interactions mimicking Donald Trump. Star Sports analyst William Kedjanyi noted Newsom’s emergence as a leader against Trump, contributing to his rising profile and improved chances.
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According to Covers.com, Zohran Mamdani’s odds of winning the 2025 New York mayoral election have increased significantly, rising to 82 percent. This shift is attributed to a New York Times report indicating that Donald Trump considered intervening in the race, which “backfired” according to the betting insights website. Incumbent Mayor Eric Adams and former Governor Andrew Cuomo, also contesting the election, have seen their odds decrease and remain stagnant, respectively. Mamdani’s campaign is seen as a potential major victory for the left, with political strategists suggesting that voters are drawn to his vision and are tired of performative politics.
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The odds of President Trump completing his second term have decreased due to public reaction to his handling of the Jeffrey Epstein case, according to Star Sports. The bookmaker’s odds for Trump completing a second term shifted from 2/5 to 8/15 over the past month, while odds of him leaving office this year rose. This change is attributed to the Epstein scandal, which threatens his relationship with the Republican base. Trump’s shift in stance on releasing Epstein-related documents, coupled with actions by Republican leaders, is causing dissatisfaction among some supporters.
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John Q. Hosedrinker