Trump Impeachment Odds: A Hopeless Cause?
Betting markets, such as Kalshi, are offering odds on various scenarios surrounding President Trump’s second term, including a controversial third term (currently at 10% probability) despite constitutional limitations. Simultaneously, the likelihood of impeachment and removal from office has risen from 12% to 17% since his inauguration. These odds are dynamically updated daily, reflecting the volatility of the early weeks of his presidency. Market fluctuations directly correlate with President Trump’s actions and policy decisions.
John Q. Hosedrinker