oil inventories

Exxon Warns of Dangerously Low Oil Inventories, Predicts Price Surge

Physical Brent oil prices are projected to surge to $150-$160 per barrel as inventories reach all-time lows in the coming weeks, a consequence of the ongoing disruption caused by Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Despite a recent dip in futures, the market is not fully accounting for this historically significant supply shock, which has already cost over a billion barrels. Once inventory levels hit their minimum, demand destruction is expected to rebalance the market, although the exact timeline remains uncertain, with estimates suggesting this tipping point is only two to four weeks away.

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Global Economy Under Threat as Conflict Depletes Oil Reserves

Leaders from the IEA, IMF, World Bank, and WTO have issued a joint warning regarding the escalating risks the Middle East conflict poses to the global economy. Disruptions to oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are rapidly depleting global inventories, threatening energy security as demand peaks. This conflict is creating significant and unequal impacts on energy supplies, food security, and economic activity, disproportionately burdening vulnerable economies with higher costs and uncertainty. The institutions are closely monitoring these supply chain issues and coordinating support for affected nations to safeguard economic stability.

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