The Russian army crumbles as Pokrovsk assault becomes a “death sentence” for soldiers, or so we’re hearing. It’s a complicated picture, frankly, and one that’s been painted with a lot of conflicting information. The situation around Pokrovsk is clearly a major point of contention right now. We’re seeing a flood of reports, each with their own slant, and it’s hard to know what to believe. It’s like a swirling vortex of information, where the truth gets lost in the fog of war. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) seems to be the only reliable source, and they offer daily updates, maps and commentary.… Continue reading
Six-hour tank assault, 29 armored vehicles, zero breakthroughs: Russia’s biggest autumn push fails near Volodymyrivka. It’s almost unbelievable, isn’t it? The sheer scale of the conflict in Ukraine is constantly throwing up scenarios that defy expectations. This specific instance near Volodymyrivka, with a six-hour tank assault involving 29 armored vehicles, and resulting in precisely zero breakthroughs, really captures the essence of the current stalemate. It highlights the shifting dynamics and, frankly, the incredible resilience of the Ukrainian defense. This wasn’t some minor probing action; this was presented as a significant push, a major effort. Yet, it yielded nothing in the way of territorial gains.… Continue reading
In September, Russia’s territorial gains in Ukraine dramatically decreased, with forces capturing 44% less land compared to August, totaling approximately 259 square kilometers. This gain, which represents only 0.04% of Ukraine’s total area, is the smallest monthly advance since May. Key losses for Ukraine were concentrated near Novopavlivka in Donetsk Oblast, a challenging front line, and heavy fighting persisted around Kupiansk in Kharkiv Oblast. However, Ukrainian forces have been pushing back Russian troops in the Pokrovsk direction, reclaiming villages and slowing the enemy’s advance.
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Ukraine’s military chief says Russia’s 2025 offensives have failed, and it’s becoming increasingly clear that the initial predictions of a swift victory for Russia have dramatically missed the mark. The “three-day special military operation” has stretched into years of grueling conflict, with the front lines barely budging despite Russia’s continued efforts. This has led to a stark realization: the ambitious plans for 2025, often referred to as “Project 2025,” have simply not yielded the desired results. The scale of the failure is so profound that some analyses suggest it would take Russia centuries, and an unimaginable number of casualties, to achieve their objectives at the current rate of progress.… Continue reading
In August 2025, the rate of Russian territorial gains in Ukraine decreased by 18%, with 464 square kilometers seized, bringing the total occupied area to 19% of Ukraine. This mirrors the percentage held on October 3, 2022. DeepState attributed the decline in activity to the rotation of Russian units, with assault intensity lower than in the preceding three months due to redeployments and troop rotations. However, analysts predict an increase in Russian activity during September.
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In 2024, Ukrainian forces lost over 3,600 sq km of territory, significantly exceeding the 540 sq km lost in 2023. The most substantial losses occurred in Donetsk and Kharkiv oblasts, with daily losses exceeding 20 sq km in November. Russian gains included significant advances in the Velyka Novosilka-Ocheretyne and Lyman-Kupiansk areas, as well as territory in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts. Despite some Ukrainian territorial gains elsewhere, including a brief incursion into Kursk Oblast, Militarnyi forecasts continued Russian pressure along multiple fronts.
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Intense Russian assaults on Myrnohrad, aiming to secure a foothold before winter, are resulting in catastrophic losses. The Ukrainian 38th Marine Brigade, utilizing well-prepared defenses and precise artillery strikes, is decimating attacking Russian forces. A shockingly low two-week life expectancy for Russian soldiers in this sector is attributed to these devastating Ukrainian countermeasures and the relentless nature of the Russian offensive. This unsustainable approach highlights the Russian military’s operational inefficiencies and strategic desperation. The high casualty rate threatens to severely deplete Russia’s manpower reserves.
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Recent estimates from British officials indicate that Russian forces suffered an average of 1,500 casualties per day in October, marking the highest monthly figure since the war began. This surge in losses, which may be contributing to Russia’s deployment of North Korean troops, has resulted in significant territorial gains for Russia, particularly in southern Donetsk Oblast. Despite these setbacks for Ukraine, our unwavering support for Kyiv will continue “as long as it takes,” ensuring their ability to defend their territory and achieve victory.
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As I sit back and ponder the recent revelations from Britain regarding Russia’s exaggerated strength of forces, I can’t help but feel a sense of validation in my long-held suspicions. The facade of Russia’s military might has been shattered, revealing a hollow core unable to deliver on the bravado and bluster that it projected onto the world stage. The stark reality of their ineptitude and incompetency has been laid bare for all to see.
The knee-jerk reaction of resorting to nuclear threats when faced with criticism or opposition only serves to highlight the insecurity and desperation that permeates the Russian military establishment.… Continue reading
Russia will be forced to scale down its attacks in a month and a half, according to a Ukrainian commander. As the conflict continues to unfold, the dynamics on the ground seem to be shifting. The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine has captured the attention of the world, with speculation and analysis running rampant.
It is clear that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is facing significant challenges. The Ukrainian commander’s statement that Russia will be forced to scale down its attacks speaks to a growing belief that Russia may not be able to sustain its aggressive military campaign indefinitely. This sentiment is further supported by the assertion that Russia’s troop presence in Ukraine is set to increase to a staggering 690,000 soldiers by the end of the year, a move that may indicate desperation rather than strength.… Continue reading
Matt Underwood 
John Q. Hosedrinker