For decades, the United States has cultivated a strong relationship with India, viewing it as a crucial ally. However, former President Trump’s actions, including claiming credit for resolving a conflict between India and Pakistan, imposing tariffs, and embracing Pakistan’s army chief, have damaged this relationship. This has resulted in uniting India’s political factions against the US, shattering Modi’s image, and harming the economic ties between the two nations. Despite the potential for long-term damage, India is likely to recover, but the trust built over three decades will take considerable time to restore. Ultimately, the lasting impact of these events may be the United States’ loss of a key ally.
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Former President Donald Trump has expressed displeasure with India’s growing ties with Russia and China, particularly after Prime Minister Modi was seen with Putin and Jinping. Trump criticized the U.S.-India trade relationship as “one sided” due to India’s high tariffs, which he believes hinder American businesses. This shift in dynamics may be attributed to Trump’s imposition of tariffs on India, potentially driving them further into China’s sphere of influence, contrasting with President Biden’s recent praise for the U.S.-India partnership.
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During a meeting in Tianjin, China, Chinese leader Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi committed to resolving border disputes and enhancing cooperation. Modi’s visit, his first since 2020 border clashes, occurred within the context of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit. Both leaders emphasized the importance of peaceful borders for bilateral relations and expressed a desire to avoid allowing the border issue to overshadow their overall relationship. They agreed to focus on economic development and strategic autonomy, with further discussions and increased visits planned to ease trade and travel restrictions.
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According to sources, the White House has requested that European nations impose sanctions on India mirroring those of the US, specifically halting oil and gas purchases from India and levying secondary tariffs. This follows India’s objections to US tariffs on its Russian crude oil purchases and accusations of Western hypocrisy, given that other countries are also buying oil from Moscow. The US claims India is funding Russia’s war in Ukraine, and White House officials are reportedly frustrated with European leaders who they believe are secretly undermining efforts to end the conflict by pushing for unrealistic territorial concessions for Ukraine. Discussions on the matter are expected at the upcoming Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit.
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India becomes the largest supplier of diesel fuel to Ukraine. This is a geopolitical plot twist worthy of a Hollywood thriller, isn’t it? The idea of a nation indirectly funding its own defense against an aggressor, or even indirectly assisting its enemy by buying discounted oil, is a scenario you’d probably dismiss as unrealistic if you read it in a novel. Yet, here we are. The complexities and ironies of international relations are truly something.
The reality of this situation is quite the mind-bender. Consider this: Russia, likely fully aware that its oil is being refined and sold to Ukraine, is seemingly okay with it.… Continue reading
Peter Navarro’s use of an image of Prime Minister Modi in saffron robes, within a series of critical posts on X, reveals the American tariff war against India extends beyond trade and oil. The image, taken out of context, is seen as an attack on India’s civilisational roots, mirroring narratives in Western media. This action aligns with reports suggesting the tariffs stem from personal grievances, specifically Trump’s resentment over India’s rejection of his false claims of mediating peace. India’s strategic partnership with Russia and its pursuit of technological advancement have also drawn criticism from Navarro, however, the actions of the US government led to these.
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Reliance Industries, owned by Indian billionaire Mukesh Ambani, has reportedly earned over €724 million from exporting fuel refined from Russian oil to the US in 2024. This activity has raised concerns, with US officials claiming India has become a financial resource for Russia’s war effort, despite Western sanctions imposed after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Reliance purchases discounted Russian crude, refines it at its Jamnagar complex, and then exports the finished products, a practice that has allowed the company to significantly increase revenue, with Russian crude now accounting for approximately 30% of its processing. The US and EU are considering measures to close the loophole that allows these exports, while Reliance continues to operate with significant profit.
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Former President Donald Trump has imposed a 50% tariff on most US imports from India, following through on threats related to India’s purchases of discounted Russian oil. This action, which adds to existing 25% tariffs, risks damaging the Indian economy and disrupting global supply chains. In response, India’s government has refused to halt oil purchases and has encouraged citizens to buy domestic goods, potentially leading to closer ties with Russia and China. Economists predict this will reduce India’s GDP. The US has not taken similar action against China, a major purchaser of Russian oil, nor has it taken similar actions against other countries.
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Indian refineries are preparing to slightly decrease their purchases of Russian crude oil in the coming weeks due to increasing pressure from the United States. This reduction, which will lower daily purchases from 1.8 million barrels to 1.4-1.6 million barrels, comes as a response to threats of increased U.S. tariffs on Indian imports. Although the U.S. has criticized India’s significant increase in Russian oil imports since 2022, no additional sanctions have yet been imposed despite previous threats. This move is seen as a symbolic gesture to Washington, rather than a complete severing of economic ties with Moscow.
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According to the German newspaper Frankfurter Allgemeine, President Trump made multiple unsuccessful attempts to contact Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in recent weeks. These attempts followed a period of strained relations, marked by US tariffs on India and penalties related to Russian oil purchases, suggesting a degree of diplomatic tension. The report attributes Modi’s refusal to speak with Trump to both his anger and caution, highlighting the contentious claims made by Trump, like taking credit for a ceasefire, and the perceived economic exploitation of other nations. Furthermore, the article underscores the ongoing strategic shift in India’s foreign policy and its relationship with China, suggesting India’s growing reluctance to fully align with the United States.
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John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood