Ukrainian forces struck a Russian 810th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade command post in Lgov, Kursk Oblast, on December 25th, targeting it within an abandoned civilian building. This attack, part of a broader campaign to disrupt Russian military operations, resulted in reported civilian casualties according to Russian sources, though these claims remain unverified. While Kursk Oblast has seen previous intense fighting, recent Ukrainian territorial gains there have reportedly been significantly reduced. Furthermore, Russia’s deployment of North Korean troops has allegedly resulted in substantial casualties.
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President Zelensky announced that over 3,000 North Korean soldiers fighting alongside Russian forces in Kursk Oblast have been killed or injured. This figure, based on Ukrainian intelligence, significantly surpasses previous reports and highlights the growing military cooperation between Russia and North Korea. The deployment of approximately 12,000 North Korean troops since August has reportedly aided Russia in limited territorial gains, despite high casualty rates among inexperienced soldiers. Zelensky warned of the escalating global risks associated with this collaboration, including the potential for further troop and arms transfers from North Korea.
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An intercepted phone call, purportedly between a Moscow hospital nurse and her soldier husband in Kursk Oblast, indicates that hundreds of wounded North Korean troops are arriving by train, filling hospital wards. This aligns with recent Western reports estimating substantial North Korean casualties in the region, possibly due to inexperience. While verification is pending, the claims suggest heavy losses among the reportedly 10,000 North Korean soldiers deployed to support Russia’s offensive in Kursk Oblast. Despite these losses, Russia and its allies maintain a significant offensive pressure in the area.
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In three days of fighting in Russia’s Kursk Oblast, Ukraine’s Special Operations Forces reported eliminating 50 North Korean soldiers and wounding 47 more, supported by FPV drone footage. This follows earlier reports of North Korean troop deployments to the region by Russia, with Ukrainian sources claiming significant casualties during ground assaults. While the full extent of losses remains unclear due to reported Russian obfuscation, the Pentagon independently confirmed North Korean combat participation and casualties. These actions by the 8th Special Forces Regiment targeted not only personnel but also several pieces of military equipment.
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Near Kursk, Russia launched a major offensive to breach Ukrainian defenses and cut off supply lines, committing significant armored forces. These attacks, focused initially on the Snagost River and later around Tolstyi Lug, were met with devastating Ukrainian resistance using layered defenses, including Javelin missiles and FPV drones. The resulting heavy losses of Russian armor, particularly tanks and infantry fighting vehicles, forced a shift to ineffective infantry assaults. Ultimately, the Russian offensive failed to achieve its objectives, highlighting the strength of Ukrainian defenses and the futility of Russia’s approach.
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Recent reports highlight significant shifts in the Ukraine conflict. Ukraine has lost substantial ground in Kursk Oblast, relinquishing over 40% of recently gained territory due to intensified Russian counterattacks. Simultaneously, Russia has unleashed a barrage of weaponry, including over 800 KAB bombs, hundreds of drones, and numerous missiles this week, according to Ukrainian President Zelensky. France advocates against setting red lines on military aid to Ukraine, emphasizing the escalating threat to European security. Furthermore, evidence suggests Russia is employing hundreds of Yemeni mercenaries, highlighting its continued reliance on foreign fighters.
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As of November 22nd, an estimated 60,000 Russian troops, augmented by approximately 11,000 North Korean soldiers, are concentrated in Russia’s Kursk Oblast. These forces aim to establish a buffer zone along the Sumy Oblast border, countering Ukraine’s August incursion. Ukrainian forces, having initially gained ground, are holding their positions in Kursk Oblast while Russian forces have retaken approximately half of the initially lost territory. The ongoing conflict has resulted in significant Russian casualties, with over 7,900 killed, 12,200 wounded, and 717 captured in the three months since the offensive began.
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President Biden authorized Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles against Russian and North Korean forces, primarily targeting Kursk Oblast, marking a significant policy shift. This decision, communicated to Kyiv days prior, aims to bolster Ukraine’s defense capabilities against a planned Russian offensive supported by North Korean troops. While not expected to alter the war’s overall trajectory, the authorization allows Ukraine to strike critical military assets and deter further aggression. The decision follows previous U.S. hesitancy and culminates from discussions initiated after Ukrainian officials presented target lists in August.
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Ukrainian intelligence reports that North Korea has supplied Russia with 50 self-propelled howitzers and 20 multiple launch rocket systems, some of which have been deployed to the Kursk Oblast. This follows reports of 11,000 North Korean troops training alongside Russian forces, and previous deliveries of millions of artillery shells. These shipments bolster Russia’s military efforts amidst dwindling supplies and Western sanctions. The deepening Russia-North Korea alliance contrasts with South Korea’s growing support for Ukraine, including the consideration of lethal aid.
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Following the 47th Mechanized Brigade’s initial forays into western Russia, a fierce Russian counteroffensive has begun in Kursk Oblast, aiming to reclaim the 250-square-mile salient seized by Ukrainian forces in August. The 47th Brigade, equipped with American M-2 Bradley vehicles and M-1 Abrams tanks, is now fighting a desperate battle to defend the left flank of the salient against a relentless Russian assault. The Russians, emboldened by the change in U.S. administration and the potential for a negotiated armistice, are determined to retake Kursk before President-elect Trump takes office in January. Despite significant casualties, they show no signs of relenting, forcing the 47th Brigade and its allies to fight tooth and nail to maintain control of their hard-won gains.
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John Q. Hosedrinker