Vice President Kamala Harris is polling significantly higher than Donald Trump among women, according to an ABC News/Ipsos national poll. Harris has a 14% lead over Trump overall with women, which increases to 23% for women with a college degree and 34% for women under the age of 40. The Brookings Institution credits Harris’ popularity with older voters to the 2022 Dobbs Supreme Court decision, which restricted abortion rights. Prominent pro-Trump figures have voiced concern over these poll numbers, especially as early voting data indicates a majority of female voters. In Pennsylvania, for example, 56% of mail-in ballots have come from women so far.
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Women are dominating early voting for the 2024 elections in the US, contributing 54% of the more than 58 million mail-in and in-person votes that have been cast, causing concern among Donald Trump’s supporters. In battleground states Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina, the gap is at least 10 points and in Pennsylvania, the largest swing state, women have cast 56% of the votes. It is not known how these women voted, but supporters of Trump fear this trend may sway the election in favor of Vice-President Kamala Harris. Harris has championed abortion rights in her campaign, aiming to appeal to all women, including Republican women dissatisfied with Trump. However, it is uncertain if the rise in female voters will be beneficial exclusively for Harris as Trump has recently encouraged all Republicans to vote early.
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The US in brief’s team from The Economist will be providing rapid analysis of the US election results on Tuesday, November 5th. The fastest analysis will be available on their app and home page on election day. Detailed live results will be published on their page soon after the first polls close at 6pm EST/11 pm GMT.
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Barbara Pierce Bush’s endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris is not just a personal statement; it’s a profound political moment that signals the shifting landscape of American party politics. As the daughter of former President George W. Bush and granddaughter of George H.W. Bush, Barbara is situated in a unique position within the longstanding Bush political legacy. Watching her step out in support of a Democratic candidate, especially in such a polarized climate, prompts deep reflection on what this means for both the Republican Party and the larger political discourse in the United States.
Campaigning for Harris in Pennsylvania during the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election truly showcases a commitment to values that resonate beyond party lines.… Continue reading
Photograph: Getty Images Oct 31st 2024 (published 5h ago) The US in brief’s team of editors will be giving The Economist ’s fastest analysis of the results, as they come in, on Tuesday November 5th. You can find that on our app and home page on election day.
Allan Lichtman, the historian who has made a name for himself as a presidential predictor, has firmly stated his belief that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 election. This assertion, bold and unapologetic, comes amidst an electoral landscape that has been muddied by numerous unpredictable factors—political gambling, speculation-driven polling, and the persistent specter of extremism brought forth by figures like Donald Trump. As an enthusiastic observer of these developments, I find myself both hopeful and concerned about how this prediction will unfold.
Lichtman’s track record has been remarkable; he’s been able to call the winners of nearly every election since the 1980s.… Continue reading
Seeing a close ally of Donald Trump wave a crucifix while calling Kamala Harris the “antichrist” at a rally in New York City makes my stomach turn. It’s a disturbing tableau that not only highlights the absurdity of their rhetoric but also serves as a grim reminder of the way politics has devolved into a theatrical spectacle of hate and division. This isn’t merely a matter of differing political opinions; it’s emblematic of a broader cultural crisis that has seeped into our very social fabric.
This rally felt less like a political gathering and more like a performance meant to incite fear and rally a base that thrives on conspiracy and division.… Continue reading
Recent polls are showing a surprising turn of events as Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump as the election draws near. As a woman deeply invested in this election cycle, I find this trend particularly encouraging, especially given the crucial role women are playing in propelling her candidacy forward. This moment feels significant, not only for the Democratic ticket but for our country as a whole.
I think we can all agree that the political landscape over the last several years has been unsettling. The discourse around women’s rights—especially concerning reproductive health—has thrust many women into a political awakening. The fact that polls show Harris leading Trump, particularly among women, showcases that we are taking a stand in a way that could change the tide of this election.… Continue reading
It has fallen to me, the humor columnist, to endorse Kamala Harris for president, and honestly, that’s a little surreal. When I think about the role of a columnist, the first image that springs to mind is not that of a political pundit, but rather a person whose job is to use humor to hold a mirror up to society’s absurdities. Yet here I am, in what feels like a moment that demands serious reflection, navigating the chaotic terrain of the 2024 election. It’s ironic that my endorsement matters so much now that traditional media outlets, like the Washington Post, have opted for silence.… Continue reading
The buzz surrounding the video of Joe Rogan defending Kamala Harris during his chat with Donald Trump resonates with me on multiple levels. It’s fascinating to witness someone like Rogan, a figure often associated with a certain brand of libertarianism and free speech advocacy, stepping into controversy, especially when it involves politicians as polarizing as Trump and Harris. The fact that this moment has gained traction online speaks to the increasingly polarized political climate we find ourselves navigating.
Rogan’s defense of Harris caught my attention for its unexpected sincerity. As Trump was dismissive, suggesting Harris would be “laying on the floor,” Rogan interjected with an emphatic reminder that she’s a person worthy of respect, declaring, “She might still do it.… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker 
Matt Underwood