The 9M729 ground-launched cruise missile, a weapon whose development prompted the U.S. to withdraw from the INF Treaty, has been fired at Ukraine on multiple occasions, according to Ukrainian officials. This missile, which has a reported range of up to 1,200 kilometers, was banned under the 1987 treaty. The use of this missile in Ukraine has been interpreted as confirmation of previous concerns about Russia’s compliance and the need for the U.S. to leave the treaty. The recent strikes on Ukraine have further opened the door for new defense developments in the U.S.
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Following the collapse of the INF Treaty, Russia declared it would no longer adhere to its “self-restrictions” on deploying medium- and short-range missiles. The Russian Foreign Ministry cited a lack of reciprocity and listed alleged violations as justification for this decision. These self-imposed limitations were initially adopted after the U.S. and Russia withdrew from the INF Treaty in August 2019, with each side accusing the other of treaty violations. Consequently, Russia now views the conditions for maintaining its moratorium on these weapons as obsolete.
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Examination of debris from a Russian Oreshnik missile used in a November 21 attack on Dnipro reveals a component with a 2017 production date, contradicting Putin’s claims of cutting-edge technology. The missile’s components, including a control system linked to Roscosmos contractor NPTSAP, suggest production began around 2017-2018, likely utilizing older technologies and components from other Russian missile programs. This finding further supports accusations that Russia violated the INF Treaty. Ongoing analysis promises to reveal more details about the missile’s origins and development timeline.
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John Q. Hosedrinker