The world faces an imminent return of El Niño, bringing with it the threat of supercharged weather extremes, according to the UN. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reports an 80% chance of El Niño forming by September and a 90% chance by November, with most models projecting a moderate to strong event. This phenomenon is expected to raise global temperatures and exacerbate rainfall and drought patterns worldwide, impacting food supplies and livelihoods. The UN Secretary-General has urged immediate climate action, including transitioning away from fossil fuels and ensuring early-warning systems are available to all.
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Temperatures are set to reach an unprecedented 35C in parts of England on Monday, potentially breaking the May temperature record by a significant margin of 2.2C. This follows a record-breaking May overnight temperature of 19.4C, with London narrowly missing a “tropical night.” Many areas are officially experiencing heatwave conditions, a trend amplified by the climate crisis which is making such events more intense and frequent, with hot temperatures expected to persist and potentially worsen later in the summer.
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Atmospheric carbon dioxide levels reached a new record high in April, averaging 431 parts per million (ppm) as measured by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Mauna Loa Observatory. This continued increase, described by climate scientist Zachary Labe as “depressing” but expected, underscores the ongoing warming trend of the planet. Despite this concerning data, there are glimmers of optimism with the expanding use of renewable energy sources.
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This March was the hottest on record for the continental United States, exceeding all previous months in history for its deviation from the norm. This record-breaking heat, which shattered over 19,800 daily and 2,000 monthly temperature records, follows the hottest winter on record and occurred during the driest January-March period in contiguous U.S. history. Forecasters predict that a potential “super” El Niño developing in the coming months will further intensify global warmth, possibly pushing temperatures past 2024’s record and causing significant shifts in weather patterns for years to come.
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A massive heat dome originating in the Southwest is expanding eastward, shattering March temperature records across 14 states and the U.S. as a whole. This expansive heat wave is expected to persist into the following week, with much of the nation experiencing unseasonably high temperatures. Meteorologists note that while this event is geographically vast, its intensity is somewhat tempered by lower humidity compared to summer heat waves. Climate scientists attribute the record heat to human-caused climate change, estimating that it made the event significantly more likely.
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The dangerous heat wave shattering March records in the U.S. Southwest is indicative of escalating extreme weather events occurring with increasing frequency due to global warming. Experts emphasize that these unprecedented and often deadly weather extremes, striking at unusual times and locations, pose a growing danger. A World Weather Attribution report suggests that such March heat would have been virtually impossible without human-caused climate change, which is amplifying temperatures beyond previously imagined bounds.
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A desert community in southwestern Arizona reached 110 degrees (43.3 C) on Thursday, setting a new record for the highest March temperature in the United States. This extreme heat wave scorched the Southwest, with several California locations also hitting 108 degrees (42.2 C) on the last day of winter. The blistering wave has established record highs in numerous cities, with Phoenix experiencing its earliest triple-digit temperature day on record. Temperatures are expected to remain significantly above normal for the rest of the week before a slight drop on Sunday.
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While timelines for potential conflict with Iran expand, Republican lawmakers are already signaling intentions for further military action. Senator Lindsey Graham, speaking on Fox News, stated that a “liberation of Cuba is upon us” and that following Iran, Cuba will be next, asserting that Donald Trump is “resetting the world.” This sentiment echoes President Trump’s own vague threats and predictions of the Communist Party of Cuba’s imminent fall, particularly following the U.S. imposed fuel blockade that has significantly impacted the island’s infrastructure and economy. Discussions also suggest that Senator Marco Rubio is poised to play a role in U.S. policy towards Cuba once other international matters are resolved.
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Weather agencies are observing signals that suggest an El Niño may form later this year, a phenomenon that could potentially lead to record global temperatures. While climate models forecast this possibility, experts caution that it is still too early to be certain, with uncertainties surrounding the predictions. If an El Niño does develop, its most significant impact on global temperatures is anticipated in 2027. This comes as the planet has already experienced three consecutive years among the warmest on record, a trend amplified by ongoing global heating from fossil fuel emissions.
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The United States has formally withdrawn from the Paris climate agreement for the second time, marking a complete retreat from international climate governance and leaving the U.S. as the only country to have withdrawn from the pact. This departure, coupled with the administration’s assault on domestic climate policy, risks slowing global climate efforts and pushing the U.S. to the margins. Experts suggest this action may allow fossil fuel advocates to slow the energy transition in other countries and may cause those countries to do less. Despite these setbacks, some countries have taken bolder climate action, yet, any rise in US emissions will make global targets harder to reach, particularly hindering financial assistance to low-income nations.
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