According to Ukrainian intelligence, internal Kremlin forecasts predict that continued warfare in Ukraine until 2026 would severely hinder Russia’s global competitiveness, potentially relegating it to a regional power. These forecasts, which reportedly include scenarios extending to 2045, suggest a need for conflict resolution by 2026 to maintain parity with the US and China. The Ukrainian assessment aligns with similar recent statements from other Ukrainian officials. The Kremlin has not commented on these reports.
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China’s relationship with the West has always been a complex dance of power, competition, and strategic maneuvering. The recent call from NATO for China to stop aiding Russia if it seeks good relations with the West is not surprising, given the current geopolitical landscape. However, it raises some thought-provoking questions about the nature of international relations and power dynamics in today’s world.
From a realist perspective, China’s actions are driven by their own interests and strategic goals. The idea that China would prioritize good relations with NATO over their partnership with Russia seems unlikely, especially considering the history of tense relations with the West, particularly the US.… Continue reading
John Q. Hosedrinker