Global Instability

Russia Ends Missile Moratorium, Blaming US Deployments

Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov announced Russia will end its self-imposed moratorium on deploying intermediate- and short-range nuclear missiles, citing the US’s global deployment of similar weapons. This decision follows a recent Russian missile test and is presented as a retaliatory measure to US and UK arms supplies to Ukraine. The US plans to deploy long-range missiles in Germany in 2026, a move defended by Germany but criticized by Russia as a significant threat. This escalation reverses decades of arms control agreements, raising concerns about a new arms race and global instability.

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Russia’s Missile Launch: Escalation or Miscalculation?

Russia’s use of a MIRVed ballistic missile in Ukraine marks a dangerous escalation, representing the first-ever combat use of this technology. This departure from Cold War deterrence doctrine, where such missiles were designed to prevent nuclear war, now raises concerns about a “use them or lose them” scenario, incentivizing preemptive strikes. The high destructive capacity and vulnerability of MIRVs, even in conventional use, increases global instability. The proliferation of MIRV technology among various nations further exacerbates this risk, creating a more dangerous geopolitical environment.

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